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We study the spread of Covid-19 across neighbourhoods of cities in the developing world and find that small numbers of neighbourhoods account for a majority of cases (k-index~0.7). We also find that the countrywide distribution of cases…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-15 Anand Sahasranaman , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

There are many hard-to-reconcile numbers circulating concerning Covid-19. Using reports from random testing, the fatality ratio per infection is evaluated and used to extract further information on the actual fraction of infections and the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-25 Allen Caldwell , Vasyl Hafych , Oliver SChulz , Lolian Shtembari

Face mask use by the general public for limiting the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is controversial, though increasingly recommended, and the potential of this intervention is not well understood. We develop a compartmental model for…

Governments and public health authorities use seroprevalence studies to guide responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Seroprevalence surveys estimate the proportion of individuals who have detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. However, serologic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-11 Samuel P. Rosin , Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Stephen R. Cole , Michael G. Hudgens

The COVID-19 pandemic has heightened the urgency to understand and prevent pathogen transmission, specifically regarding infectious airborne particles. Extensive studies validate the understanding of larger (droplets) and smaller (aerosols)…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-10-25 Yaneer Bar-Yam , Jonathan M. Samet , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Nassim N. Taleb

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a serious global epidemic in the past few months and caused huge loss to human society worldwide. For such a large-scale epidemic, early detection and isolation of potential virus carriers is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-04-16 Zheng Jiang , Menghan Hu , Lei Fan , Yaling Pan , Wei Tang , Guangtao Zhai , Yong Lu

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many institutions such as universities and workplaces implemented testing regimens with every member of some population tested longitudinally, and those testing positive isolated for some time. Although the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-19 Patrick M. Schnell , Matthew Wascher , Grzegorz A. Rempala

An important recent preprint by Griffith et al highlights how 'collider bias' in studies of COVID19 undermines our understanding of the disease risk and severity. This is typically caused by the data being restricted to people who have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Norman Fenton

At the time of this article, COVID-19 has been transmitted to more than 42 million people and resulted in more than 673,000 deaths across the United States. Throughout this pandemic, public health authorities have monitored the results of…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Zhen Zhong , Ribhu Sengupta , Kamran Paynabar , Lance A. Waller

The exponential increase in COVID-19 patients is overwhelming healthcare systems across the world. With limited testing kits, it is impossible for every patient with respiratory illness to be tested using conventional techniques (RT-PCR).…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-22 Arpan Mangal , Surya Kalia , Harish Rajgopal , Krithika Rangarajan , Vinay Namboodiri , Subhashis Banerjee , Chetan Arora

Comparing how different populations have suffered under COVID-19 is a core part of ongoing investigations into how public policy and social inequalities influence the number of and severity of COVID-19 cases. But COVID-19 incidence can vary…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-11-17 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

In this paper, we develop an extension of standard epidemiological models, suitable for COVID-19. This extension incorporates the transmission due to pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic carriers of the virus. Furthermore, this model also…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-20 Anirban Ghatak , Shivshanker Singh Patel , Soham Bonnerjee , Subhrajyoty Roy

The controversy of computed tomography (CT) use in COVID-19 screening is associated with ambiguous characteristics of chest CT as a diagnostic test. The reported values of CT sensitivity and specificity calculated using RT-PCR as a…

We present a simple technique to compare the development of the Covid-19 epidemic in different regions, based only on the time series of confirmed cases. Weekly new infections, taken for every day, are interpreted as infection potential of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-04 Christoph Bandt

During the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the causative pathogen of COVID-19. Among those NPIs, quarantine measures were…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-03-04 Renquan Zhang , Yu Wang , Zheng Lv , Sen Pei

The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is one of the measures of disease impact that can be of importance for policy making. Here we show that many of the studies on which these estimates are based are scientifically flawed for…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-24 Chen Shen , Derrick Van Gennep , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Face masks have been widely used as a protective measure against COVID-19. However, pre-pandemic empirical studies have produced mixed statistical results on the effectiveness of masks against respiratory viruses. The implications of the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-11-24 Pratyush K. Kollepara , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Yaneer Bar-Yam

COVID-19 is a virus with high transmission rate that demands rapid identification of the infected patients to reduce the spread of the disease. The current gold-standard test, Reverse-Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR), has a…

Characterizing the cumulative burden of COVID-19 by race/ethnicity is of the utmost importance for public health researchers and policy makers in order to design effective mitigation measures. This analysis is hampered, however, by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-10 Rob Trangucci , Yang Chen , Jon Zelner

An important component of every country's COVID-19 response is fast and efficient testing - to identify and isolate cases, as well as for early detection of local hotspots. For many countries, producing a sufficient number of tests has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 J. Batson , N. Bottman , Y. Cooper , F. Janda