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In the last few years, deep learning has solved seemingly intractable problems, boosting the hope to find approximate solutions to problems that now are considered unsolvable. Earthquake prediction, the Grail of Seismology, is, in this…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Arnaud Mignan , Marco Broccardo

The successful prediction of earthquakes is one of the holy grails in Earth Sciences. Traditional predictions use statistical information on recurrence intervals, but those predictions are not accurate enough. In a recent paper, a machine…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-11-16 Silke van Klaveren , Ivan Vasconcelos , Andre Niemeijer

Reliable earthquake forecasting methods have long been sought after, and so the rise of modern data science techniques raises a new question: does deep learning have the potential to learn this pattern? In this study, we leverage the large…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-07-06 Jonas Koehler , Wei Li , Johannes Faber , Georg Ruempker , Nishtha Srivastava

Predicting the spatiotemporal variation in streamflow along with uncertainty quantification enables decision-making for sustainable management of scarce water resources. Process-based hydrological models (aka physics-based models) are based…

We present results from a physical experiment which demonstrates that a sheared granular medium behaves in a manner analogous to earthquake activity. The device consists of an annular plate rotating over a granular medium in a stick-slip…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Fergal Dalton , David Corcoran

This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

We construct a classification model that predicts if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold will take place at a given location in a time range 30-180 days from a given moment of time. A common approach is to use expert…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-28 P. Proskura , A. Zaytsev , I. Braslavsky , E. Egorov , E. Burnaev

Forecasting fault failure is a fundamental but elusive goal in earthquake science. Here we show that by listening to the acoustic signal emitted by a laboratory fault, machine learning can predict the time remaining before it fails with…

While deep learning models have seen recent high uptake in the geosciences, and are appealing in their ability to learn from minimally processed input data, as black box models they do not provide an easy means to understand how a decision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Akshat Goel , Denise Gorse

This paper combines the power of deep-learning with the generalizability of physics-based features, to present an advanced method for seismic discrimination between earthquakes and explosions. The proposed method contains two branches: a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-07-20 Qingkai Kong , Ruijia Wang , William R. Walter , Moira Pyle , Keith Koper , Brandon Schmandt

The $b$-value in the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law contains information that is essential for evaluating earthquake hazard and predicting the occurrence of large earthquakes. Estimates of $b$ are often based on seismic events whose magnitude…

地球物理 · 物理学 2018-03-19 Jesper Martinsson , Adam Jonsson

In the presented paper the possible methods of the large earthquake prediction are offered. During the study, it was used data of the INFREP (European Network of Electromagnetic Radiation) existent before earthquake. The elaborated methods…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-04-03 Manana Kachakhidze , Nino Kachakhidze-Murphy , Badri Khvitia , Giorgi Ramishvili

Global climate models (GCMs) are the main tools for understanding and predicting climate change. However, due to limited numerical resolutions, these models suffer from major structural uncertainties; e.g., they cannot resolve critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Rambod Mojgani , Daniel Waelchli , Yifei Guan , Petros Koumoutsakos , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Ground motion models (GMMs) are critical for seismic risk mitigation and infrastructure design. Machine learning (ML) is increasingly applied to GMM development due to expanding strong motion databases. However, existing ML-based GMMs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Vemula Sreenath , Filippo Gatti , Pierre Jehel

The recent surge in earthquake engineering is the use of machine learning methods to develop predictive models for structural behavior. Complex black-box models are typically used for decision making to achieve high accuracy; however, as…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-05-19 Zeynep Tuna Deger , Gulsen Taskin Kaya

A method that exactly knows the earthquakes beforehand and can generalize them cannot still been developed. However, earthquakes are tried to be predicted through numerous methods. One of these methods, artificial neural networks give…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2019-07-05 Handan Cam , Osman Duman

In order for an autonomous robot to efficiently explore an unknown environment, it must account for uncertainty in sensor measurements, hazard assessment, localization, and motion execution. Making decisions for maximal reward in a…

We consider an autonomous exploration problem in which a range-sensing mobile robot is tasked with accurately mapping the landmarks in an a priori unknown environment efficiently in real-time; it must choose sensing actions that both curb…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-07-27 Fanfei Chen , John D. Martin , Yewei Huang , Jinkun Wang , Brendan Englot

Data-driven machine-learning for predicting instantaneous and future fault-slip in laboratory experiments has recently progressed markedly due to large training data sets. In Earth however, earthquake interevent times range from 10's-100's…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-01-19 Kun Wang , Christopher W. Johnson , Kane C. Bennett , Paul A. Johnson

Earthquake early warning systems are crucial for protecting areas that are subject to these natural disasters. An essential part of these systems is the detection procedure. Traditionally these systems work with seismograph data, but high…

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