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It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

This paper proposes a novel, nonparametric, interpoint distance-based measure to investigate whether there exist any groups in a set of given data, and if so then, how many groups are prevailing in total. It is a cluster accuracy index…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Soumita Modak

Background: The standard regulatory approach to assess replication success is the two-trials rule, requiring both the original and the replication study to be significant with effect estimates in the same direction. The sceptical p-value…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Jeanette Köppe , Charlotte Micheloud , Stella Erdmann , Rachel Heyard , Leonhard Held

In genetic association studies, detecting disease-genotype associations is a primary goal. For most diseases, the underlying genetic model is unknown, and we study seven robust test statistics for monotone association. For a given test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-13 Mette Langaas , Øyvind Bakke

Paired cluster-randomized experiments (pCRTs) are common across many disciplines because there is often natural clustering of individuals, and paired randomization can help balance baseline covariates to improve experimental precision.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Charlotte Z. Mann , Adam C. Sales , Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Emmanuel Candès , Lihua Lei , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

Unsupervised clustering algorithms for vectors has been widely used in the area of machine learning. Many applications, including the biological data we studied in this paper, contain some boundary datapoints which show combination…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-23 Yingcong Li , Chandra Sekhar Mukherjee , Jiapeng Zhang

A well-known metric for quantifying the similarity between two clusterings is the adjusted mutual information. Compared to mutual information, a corrective term based on random permutations of the labels is introduced, preventing two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-24 Denys Lazarenko , Thomas Bonald

It is common when using cross-section or panel data to assign each observation to a cluster and allow for arbitrary patterns of heteroskedasticity and correlation within clusters. For regression models, there are many ways to make…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-03 James G. MacKinnon

If the same data is used for both clustering and for testing a null hypothesis that is formulated in terms of the estimated clusters, then the traditional hypothesis testing framework often fails to control the Type I error. Gao et al.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Youngjoo Yun , Yinqiu He

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods often rely on a preprocessing phase consisting of standard Monte Carlo sampling to estimate correlation coefficients between models of different fidelity to determine the weights and number of samples for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-06-29 Todd A. Oliver , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser

Testing composite null hypotheses arises in various applications, such as mediation and replicability analyses. The problem becomes more challenging in high-throughput experiments where tens of thousands of features are examined…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Pengfei Lyu , Xianyang Zhang , Hongyuan Cao

It is common to show the confidence intervals or $p$-values of selected features, or predictor variables in regression, but they often involve selection bias. The selective inference approach solves this bias by conditioning on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Increasing test-time computation is a straightforward approach to enhancing the quality of responses in Large Language Models (LLMs). While Best-of-N sampling and Self-Consistency with majority voting are simple and effective, they require…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Chengsong Huang , Langlin Huang , Jixuan Leng , Jiacheng Liu , Jiaxin Huang

In real data, missing values occur frequently, which affects the interpretation with interpretable machine learning (IML) methods. Recent work considers bias and shows that model explanations may differ between imputation methods, while…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Pegah Golchian , Marvin N. Wright

We study a statistical framework for replicability based on a recently proposed quantitative measure of replication success, the sceptical $p$-value. A recalibration is proposed to obtain exact overall Type-I error control if the effect is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-10 Charlotte Micheloud , Fadoua Balabdaoui , Leonhard Held

Empirical research in the social and medical sciences frequently involves testing multiple hypotheses simultaneously, increasing the risk of false positives due to chance. Classical multiple testing procedures, such as the Bonferroni…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-29 Sebastian Calonico , Sebastian Galiani

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed for tabular question answering, yet calibration on structured data is largely unstudied. This paper presents the first systematic comparison of five confidence estimation methods across…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Lukas Voss

This paper introduces a kernel discrepancy-based framework for rerandomization to enhance the precision of causal inference in controlled experiments. We demonstrate that the kernel discrepancy is the key part of the variance upper bound…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Yiou Li , Lulu Kang
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