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We present a new physics-informed machine learning approach for the inversion of PDE models with heterogeneous parameters. In our approach, the space-dependent partially-observed parameters and states are approximated via Karhunen-Lo\`eve…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-12-06 Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , David A. Barajas-Solano , Qizhi He

In this paper we consider a new probability sampling methods based on Langevin diffusion dynamics to resolve the problem of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when draw samples from high dimensional target densities. We extent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Z. Zarezadeh , N. Zarezadeh

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

We investigate how ideas from covariance localization in numerical weather prediction can be used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of high-dimensional posterior distributions arising in Bayesian inverse problems. To localize an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-09 Matthias Morzfeld , Xin T. Tong , Youssef M. Marzouk

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

We introduce Preconditioned Monte Carlo (PMC), a novel Monte Carlo method for Bayesian inference that facilitates efficient sampling of probability distributions with non-trivial geometry. PMC utilises a Normalising Flow (NF) in order to…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-08-24 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , David Nabergoj , Uros Seljak

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

Recently, Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) methods have been proposed for scaling up Monte Carlo computations to large data problems. Whilst these approaches have proven useful in many applications, vanilla SG-MCMC…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-13 Umut Şimşekli , Roland Badeau , A. Taylan Cemgil , Gaël Richard

Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo (ULMC) is an algorithm used to sample from unnormalized densities by leveraging the momentum of a particle moving in a potential well. We provide a novel analysis of ULMC, motivated by two central questions:…

Many problems in the physical sciences, machine learning, and statistical inference necessitate sampling from a high-dimensional, multi-modal probability distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, the ubiquitous tool for this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-05-12 Marylou Gabrié , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We construct a new framework for accelerating Markov chain Monte Carlo in posterior sampling problems where standard methods are limited by the computational cost of the likelihood, or of numerical models embedded therein. Our approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-06 Patrick R. Conrad , Youssef M. Marzouk , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

This paper aims at improving the convergence to equilibrium of finite ergodic Markov chains via permutations and projections. First, we prove that a specific mixture of permuted Markov chains arises naturally as a projection under the KL…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-22 Michael C. H. Choi , Max Hird , Youjia Wang

A key task in Bayesian statistics is sampling from distributions that are only specified up to a partition function (i.e., constant of proportionality). However, without any assumptions, sampling (even approximately) can be #P-hard, and few…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-03 Rong Ge , Holden Lee , Andrej Risteski

Uncertainty quantification is a crucial step of cosmological mass-mapping that is often ignored. Suggested methods are typically only approximate or make strong assumptions of Gaussianity of the shear field. Probabilistic sampling methods,…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-22 Augustin Marignier , Thomas Kitching , Jason D. McEwen , Ana M. G. Ferreira

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a popular technique in Bayesian statistical modeling. They have long been used to obtain samples from posterior distributions, but recent research has focused on the scalability of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-02 Nicholas A. Johnson , Frank O. Kuehnel , Ali Nasiri Amini

We develop a novel class of MCMC algorithms based on a stochastized Nesterov scheme. With an appropriate addition of noise, the result is a time-inhomogeneous underdamped Langevin equation, which we prove emits a specified target…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-11-29 Duy H. Thai , Alexander L. Young , David B. Dunson

This paper addresses model dimensionality reduction for Bayesian inference based on prior Gaussian fields with uncertainty in the covariance function hyper-parameters. The dimensionality reduction is traditionally achieved using the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-19 Ihab Sraj , Olivier P. Le Maître , Omar M. Knio , Ibrahim Hoteit

Performing stochastic inversion on a computationally expensive forward simulation model with a high-dimensional uncertain parameter space (e.g. a spatial random field) is computationally prohibitive even with gradient information provided.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-19 Charanraj A. Thimmisetty , Wenju Zhao , Xiao Chen , Charles H. Tong , Joshua A. White

Performing Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be exceedingly expensive when posterior evaluations invoke the evaluation of a computationally expensive model, such as a system of partial differential equations. In…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Patrick Conrad , Andrew Davis , Youssef Marzouk , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith