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This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-11 Ruoxuan Xiong , Markus Pelger

The effects of treatments may differ between persons with different characteristics. Addressing such treatment heterogeneity is crucial to investigate whether patients with specific characteristics are likely to benefit from a new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-29 Xynthia Kavelaars , Joris Mulder , Maurits Kaptein

We propose a Bayesian propensity score-augmented latent factor model for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data. The framework explicitly models the treatment assignment mechanism by incorporating latent factor loadings,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Licheng Liu

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

We propose a fast and theoretically grounded method for Bayesian variable selection and model averaging in latent variable regression models. Our framework addresses three interrelated challenges: (i) intractable marginal likelihoods, (ii)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Gregor Zens , Mark F. J. Steel

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

Homophily based on observables is widespread in networks. Therefore, homophily based on unobservables (fixed effects) is also likely to be an important determinant of the interaction outcomes. Failing to properly account for latent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-09 Andrei Zeleneev

Cystic fibrosis is a chronic lung disease which requires frequent patient monitoring to maintain lung function over time and minimize onset of acute respiratory events known as pulmonary exacerbations. From the clinical point of view it is…

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

Heterogeneity is a fundamental characteristic of cancer. To accommodate heterogeneity, subgroup identification has been extensively studied and broadly categorized into unsupervised and supervised analysis. Compared to unsupervised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Xing Qin , Xu Liu , Shuangge Ma , Mengyun Wu

Motivated by genetic association studies of pleiotropy, we propose here a Bayesian latent variable approach to jointly study multiple outcomes or phenotypes. The proposed method models both continuous and binary phenotypes, and it accounts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-11-08 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

Heterogeneous data from multiple populations, sub-groups, or sources is often represented as a ``mixture model'' with a single latent class influencing all of the observed covariates. Heterogeneity can be resolved at multiple levels by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Bijan Mazaheri , Chandler Squires , Caroline Uhler

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

In this work we present a method for the statistical analysis of continually monitored data arising in a recurrent diseases problem. The model enables individual level inference in the presence of time transience and population…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-19 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee , Elja Arjas

This article focuses on Bayesian estimation of a hierarchical linear model (HLM) from incomplete data assumed missing at random where continuous covariates C and discrete categorical covariates $D$ have interaction effects on a continuous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Dongho Shin , Yongyun Shin

Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Motivated by distinct walking patterns in real-world free-living gait data, this paper proposes an innovative curve-based sampling scheme for the analysis of functional data characterized by a mixture of covariance structures. Traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Yian Yu , Bo Wang , Jian Qing Shi

We provide new results showing identification of a large class of fixed-T panel models, where the response variable is an unknown, weakly monotone, time-varying transformation of a latent linear index of fixed effects, regressors, and an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-07 Irene Botosaru , Chris Muris , Krishna Pendakur

Estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects is an active area of research. Most of the existing methods, however, focus on estimating the conditional average treatment effects of a single, binary treatment given a set of pre-treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-30 Max Goplerud , Kosuke Imai , Nicole E. Pashley

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni