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Wind energy is becoming an increasingly crucial component of a sustainable grid, but its inherent variability and limited predictability present challenges for grid operators. The energy sector needs novel forecasting techniques that can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Zheng Dong , Hanyu Zhang , Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Accurate forecasting of solar power output is essential for efficient integration of renewable energy into the grid. In this study, an attention-based deep learning model, inspired by transformer architecture, is used for short-term solar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Ankan Basu , Jyotiraditya Roy , Aditya Datta , Prayas Sanyal , Sumanta Banerjee

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Reliable forecasts of the power output from variable renewable energy generators like solar photovoltaic systems are important to balancing load on real-time electricity markets and ensuring electricity supply reliability. However, solar PV…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Andea Scott , Sindhu Sreedhara , Folasade Ayoola

With the increasing penetration of renewable power sources such as wind and solar, accurate short-term, nowcasting renewable power prediction is becoming increasingly important. This paper investigates the multi-modal (MM) learning and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-17 Rushil Vohra , Ali Rajaei , Jochen L. Cremer

The empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and its variants have been extensively employed in the load and renewable forecasting literature. Using this multiresolution decomposition, time series (TS) related to the historical load and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-24 Nima Safari , George Price , Chi Yung Chung

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

The increasing renewable penetration introduces significant uncertainty in power system operations. At the same time, the existing transmission grid is often already congested, and urgently needed reinforcements are frequently delayed due…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-18 Giacomo Bastianel , Dirk Van Hertem , Hakan Ergun , Line Roald

Renewable energy power is influenced by the atmospheric system, which exhibits nonlinear and time-varying features. To address this, a dynamic temporal correlation modeling framework is proposed for renewable energy scenario generation. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Xiaochong Dong , Yilin Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

Several research studies have shown that future sustainable electricity systems, mostly based on renewable generation and storage, are feasible with current technologies and costs. However, recent episodes of extreme weather conditions,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-26 Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Antonio Gomez-Exposito

This project presents an extension to the GraphCast model, a state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN) for global weather forecasting, by integrating solar energy production forecasting capabilities. The proposed approach leverages the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Cale Colony , Razan Andigani

Renewable energy sources (RES) are close to grid parity compared with conventional generation. Therefore, it is important to consider proper costs to assess the economics instead of technological aspects only. While some scholars are in the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-13 Groissböck Markus , Gusmao Alexandre

Renewable Energies (RE) have gained more attention in recent years since they offer clean and sustainable energy. One of the major sustainable development goals (SDG-7) set by the United Nations (UN) is to achieve affordable and clean…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-27 Mehdi Hatamian , Bivas Panigrahi , Chinmaya Kumar Dehury

Incorporating Renewable Energy Sources (RES) incurs a high level of uncertainties to electric power systems. This level of uncertainties makes the conventional energy management methods inefficient and jeopardizes the security of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-17 Mohammad Rasoul Narimani , Ali Azizivahed , Ehsan Naderi

With more renewable energy sources (RES) integrated into the power system, the intermittency of RES places a heavy burden on the system. The uncertainty of RES is traditionally handled by controllable generators to balance the real time…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-25 Tian Liu , Su Wang , Danny H. K. Tsang

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Recent environmental policies have led many academic, industrial and governmental stakeholders to design and plan scenarios with very high share of renewable energy sources (RES). New system elements such as High-voltage Direct Current…

Conventional feasibility studies of deep decarbonisation are often limited in their temporal scope, and are thus unable to draw conclusions about grid reliability over multi-decadal time periods. To address this problem, we introduce…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-20 J. Dunsmore , L. M. Arthur , R. S. Kemp

Climate change is increasingly recognized as a driver of health-related outcomes, yet its impact on pharmaceutical demand remains largely understudied. As environmental conditions evolve and extreme weather events intensify, anticipating…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-19 Viviana Schisa , Matteo Farnè

All numerical weather prediction models used for the wind industry need to produce their forecasts starting from the main synoptic hours 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC, once the analysis becomes available. The six-hour latency time between two…