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Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization. Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty in wind energy generation, which depends on weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Lucas English , Mahdi Abolghasemi

The issue of the accuracy of wind speed/power forecasts is becoming more and more important as wind power production continues to increase year after year. Having accurate forecasts for the energy market clashes with intrinsic difficulties…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-23 Gabriele Casciaro , Francesco Ferrari , Mattia Cavaiola , Andrea Mazzino

The output of renewable energy fluctuates significantly depending on weather conditions. We develop a unit commitment model to analyze requirements of the forecast output and its error for renewable energies. Our model obtains the time…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Yuichi Ikeda , Takashi Ikegami , Kazuto Kataoka , Kazuhiko Ogimoto

Rising global energy demand from population growth raises concerns about the sustainability of fossil fuels. Consequently, the energy sector has increasingly transitioned to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which are naturally…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-30 Afsaneh Mollasalehi , Armin Farhadi

The objective of the GreenPAD project is to use green energy (wind, solar and biomass) for powering data-centers that are used to run HPC jobs. As a part of this it is important to predict the Renewable (Wind) energy for efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-02-27 Ankur Sahai

A novel methodology for short-term energy forecasting using an Extreme Learning Machine ($\mathtt{ELM}$) is proposed. Using six years of hourly data collected in Corsica (France) from multiple energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, thermal,…

The utilization of renewable energy sources (RESs) has become significant throughout the world especially over the last two decades. Although high-level RESs penetration reduces negative environmental impact compared to conventional fossil…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-27 Md Shafiul Alam , Fahad Saleh Al-Ismail , M. A. Abido , Aboubakr Salem

High penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) introduces significant uncertainty and intermittency into microgrid operations, posing challenges to economic and reliable scheduling. To address this, this paper proposes an end-to-end…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-04 Tingwei Cao , Yan Xu

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-10 Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Vadim Spiryaev , Paul Leahy , Denis Sidorov , Alexei Zhukov

Obtaining accurate probabilistic energy forecasts and making effective decisions amid diverse uncertainties are routine challenges in future energy systems. This paper presents the winning solution of team GEB, which ranked 3rd in trading,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-07 Chuanqing Pu , Feilong Fan , Nengling Tai , Songyuan Liu , Jinming Yu

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Reproducibility remains a persistent challenge in forecasting research and practice, particularly in business and financial analytics, where forecasts inform high-stakes decisions. Traditional forecasting methods, while theoretically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Sidney Shapiro , Burhanuddin Panvelwala

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

European energy markets are decentralized and entail balance responsibility of each market player. This stresses the importance of imbalance management of renewable energy sources (RES), as the imbalance payments can strongly reduce their…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-10 Petra Draskovic , Ivan Pavic , Karlo Sepetanc , Hrvoje Pandzic

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

The increasing impact of fossil energy generation on the Earth ecological balance is pointing to the need of a transition in power generation technology towards the more clean and sustainable Renewable Energy Sources (RES). This transition…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-19 Mario Mureddu

Accurate forecasts for day-ahead photovoltaic (PV) power generation are crucial to support a high PV penetration rate in the local electricity grid and to assure stability in the grid. We use state-of-the-art tree-based machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Nick Berlanger , Noah van Ophoven , Tim Verdonck , Ines Wilms

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

This paper provides an overview of the status of the electricity market in the region, indicating the nexus between electricity consumption with population growth and GDP. It also analyzes the policy portfolio in different countries,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-07 Mostafa Abdelrashied , Dikshita Bhattacharya