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相关论文: Inference in Spatial Experiments with Interference…

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We develop a cross-sectional research design to identify causal effects in the presence of unobservable heterogeneity without instruments. When units are dense in physical space, it may be sufficient to regress the "spatial first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-22 Hannah Druckenmiller , Solomon Hsiang

In settings where interference between units is possible, we define the prevalence of indirect effects to be the number of units who are affected by the treatment of others. This quantity does not fully identify an indirect effect, but may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-18 David Choi

Randomized experiments on a network often involve interference between connected units; i.e., a situation in which an individual's treatment can affect the response of another individual. Current approaches to deal with interference, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Guillaume Basse , Edoardo Airoldi

Randomized experiments, or "A/B" tests, remain the gold standard for evaluating the causal effect of a policy intervention or product change. However, experimental settings, such as social networks, where users are interacting and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Yuan Yuan , Kristen M. Altenburger , Farshad Kooti

We study inference in shift-share regression designs, such as when a regional outcome is regressed on a weighted average of sectoral shocks, using regional sector shares as weights. We conduct a placebo exercise in which we estimate the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-08 Rodrigo Adão , Michal Kolesár , Eduardo Morales

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

Estimation and inference procedures for synthetic control methods often do not allow for the existence of spillover effects, which are plausible in many applications. In this paper, we consider estimation and inference for synthetic control…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-23 Jianfei Cao , Connor Dowd

This paper discusses the fundamental principles of causal inference - the area of statistics that estimates the effect of specific occurrences, treatments, interventions, and exposures on a given outcome from experimental and observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Francesca Dominici , Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Fabrizia Mealli

Randomized experiments are a powerful methodology for data-driven evaluation of decisions or interventions. Yet, their validity may be undermined by network interference. This occurs when the treatment of one unit impacts not only its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Classical causal and statistical inference methods typically assume the observed data consists of independent realizations. However, in many applications this assumption is inappropriate due to a network of dependences between units in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Rohit Bhattacharya , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

In this paper, we propose a Spatial Robust Mixture Regression model to investigate the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables over the spatial domain, assuming that the relationships may exhibit complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-30 Wennan Chang , Pengtao Dang , Changlin Wan , Xiaoyu Lu , Yue Fang , Tong Zhao , Yong Zang , Bo Li , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

We present a framework for inference for spatial processes that have actual values imperfectly represented by data. Environmental processes represented as spatial fields, either at fixed time points, or aggregated over fixed time periods,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Benjamin D. Youngman , David B. Stephenson

Chernozhukov et al. (2018) proposed the sorted effect method for nonlinear regression models. This method consists of reporting percentiles of the partial effects in addition to the average commonly used to summarize the heterogeneity in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-11-11 Shuowen Chen , Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Ye Luo

Design-based simulations - procedures that hold realized outcomes fixed and generate variation by resampling treatment assignment or shocks - are widely used in both methodological and applied work to assess inference procedures. This paper…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-13 Bruno Ferman

This chapter covers different approaches to policy evaluation for assessing the causal effect of a treatment or intervention on an outcome of interest. As an introduction to causal inference, the discussion starts with the experimental…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-03 Martin Huber

We develop a model that captures peer effect heterogeneity by modeling the endogenous spillover to be linear in ordered peer outcomes. Unlike the canonical linear-in-means model, our approach accounts for the distribution of peer outcomes…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-04 Eyo I. Herstad , Myungkou Shin

Claiming causal inferences in network settings necessitates careful consideration of the often complex dependency between outcomes for actors. Of particular importance are treatment spillover or outcome interference effects. We consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-18 Duncan A. Clark , Mark S. Handcock

I set up a potential outcomes framework to analyze spillover effects using instrumental variables. I characterize the population compliance types in a setting in which spillovers can occur on both treatment take-up and outcomes, and provide…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-15 Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

This is the first study that attempts to assess the regional economic impacts of the European Institute of Innovation and Technology (EIT) investments in a spatially explicit macroeconomic model, which allows us to take into account all key…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-12-17 Olga Ivanova , d'Artis Kancs , Mark Thissen

Spatial interference and spatial confounding are two major issues inhibiting precise causal estimates when dealing with observational spatial data. Moreover, the definition and interpretation of spatial confounding remain arguable in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Isqeel Ogunsola , Olatunji Johnson