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Evaluating defensive performance in soccer remains challenging, as effective defending is often expressed not through visible on-ball actions such as interceptions and tackles, but through preventing dangerous opportunities before they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-12 Hyunsung Kim , Sangwoo Seo , Hoyoung Choi , Tom Boomstra , Jinsung Yoon , Chanyoung Park

The recent growth in data availability in football has increased the risk of incorrect use of data-driven models, making guidelines on their validation and application necessary. The Expected Threat (xT) model is an accessible option for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Koen van Arem , Jakob Söhl , Mirjam Bruinsma , Geurt Jongbloed

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

Although the data-driven analysis of football players' performance has been developed for years, most research only focuses on the on-ball event including shots and passes, while the off-ball movement remains a little-explored area in this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva , Mike Caine

Analysis of invasive sports such as soccer is challenging because the game situation changes continuously in time and space, and multiple agents individually recognize the game situation and make decisions. Previous studies using deep…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Hiroshi Nakahara , Kazushi Tsutsui , Kazuya Takeda , Keisuke Fujii

Datascouting is one of the most known data applications in professional sport, and specifically football. Its objective is to analyze huge database of players in order to detect high potentials that can be then individually considered by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Simon Lacan

The task of action spotting consists in both identifying actions and precisely localizing them in time with a single timestamp in long, untrimmed video streams. Automatically extracting those actions is crucial for many sports applications,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 Silvio Giancola , Anthony Cioppa , Bernard Ghanem , Marc Van Droogenbroeck

Scientifically evaluating soccer players represents a challenging Machine Learning problem. Unfortunately, most existing answers have very opaque algorithm training procedures; relevant data are scarcely accessible and almost impossible to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-15 Paul Garnier , Théophane Gregoir

Injury occurrence in football poses significant challenges for athletes and teams, carrying personal, competitive, and financial consequences. While machine learning has been applied to injury prediction before, existing approaches often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Victoria Catterall , Cise Midoglu , Stephen Lynch

With the development of measurement technology, data on the movements of actual games in various sports can be obtained and used for planning and evaluating the tactics and strategy. Defense in team sports is generally difficult to be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-10 Kosuke Toda , Masakiyo Teranishi , Keisuke Kushiro , Keisuke Fujii

It is not surprise for machine learning models to provide decent prediction accuracy of soccer games outcomes based on various objective metrics. However, the performance is not that decent in terms of predicting difficult and valuable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-05 Liyao Lu , Qiang Lyu

Estimation of football players' skills is one of the key tasks in sports analytics. This paper introduces multiple extensions to a widely used model, expected possession value (EPV), to address some key challenges such as selection problem.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Andrei Shelopugin

In recent years, Deep Neural Network models have been developed in different fields, where they have brought many advances. However, they have also started to be used in tasks where risk is critical. A misdiagnosis of these models can lead…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Xabier Echeberria-Barrio , Amaia Gil-Lerchundi , Jon Egana-Zubia , Raul Orduna-Urrutia

Transfers play a pivotal role in shaping a football club's success, yet forecasting whether a transfer will succeed remains difficult due to the strong context-dependence of on-field performance. Existing evaluation practices often rely on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Miru Hong , Minho Lee , Geonhee Jo , Jae-Hee So , Pascal Bauer , Sang-Ki Ko

Recent adversarial attack developments have made reinforcement learning more vulnerable, and different approaches exist to deploy attacks against it, where the key is how to choose the right timing of the attack. Some work tries to design…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Yang Li , Quan Pan , Erik Cambria

Football is a very result-driven industry, with goals being rarer than in most sports, so having further parameters to judge the performance of teams and individuals is key. Expected Goals (xG) allow further insight than just a scoreline.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-04 James H. Hewitt , Oktay Karakuş

Soccer is a sparse rewarding game: any smart or careless action in critical situations can change the result of the match. Therefore players, coaches, and scouts are all curious about the best action to be performed in critical situations,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-15 Pegah Rahimian , Afshin Oroojlooy , Laszlo Toka

Assessing the impact of the individual actions performed by soccer players during games is a crucial aspect of the player recruitment process. Unfortunately, most traditional metrics fall short in addressing this task as they either focus…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-08-01 Tom Decroos , Lotte Bransen , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

This paper introduces an approach to predicting the next event in a soccer match, a challenge bearing remarkable similarities to the problem faced by Large Language Models (LLMs). Unlike other methods that severely limit event dynamics in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-29 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

How much is an on-ball screen worth? How much is a backdoor cut away from the ball worth? Basketball is one of a number of sports which, within the past decade, have seen an explosion in quantitative metrics and methods for evaluating…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-22 Anthony Sicilia , Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Kirk Goldsberry
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