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In this work, we focus on variational Bayesian inference on the sparse Deep Neural Network (DNN) modeled under a class of spike-and-slab priors. Given a pre-specified sparse DNN structure, the corresponding variational posterior contraction…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-04 Jincheng Bai , Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

High-dimensional spatially correlated covariates are common in regression models encountered in environmental sciences and other fields. In such models, the regression coefficients often exhibit a sparse structure with spatial dependence.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Zihan Zhu , Xueying Tang , Shuang Zhou

Due to spatial dependence -- often characterized as complex and non-linear -- model misspecification is a prevalent and critical issue in spatial data analysis and prediction. As the data, and thus model performance, is heterogeneous,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Danielle Cabel , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Masahiro Kato , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn

Spatial modelling often uses Gaussian random fields to capture the stochastic nature of studied phenomena. However, this approach incurs significant computational burdens (O(n3)), primarily due to covariance matrix computations. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Joaquin Cavieres , Paula Moraga , Cole C. Monnahan

Due to developments in instruments and computers, functional observations are increasingly popular. However, effective methodologies for flexibly estimating the underlying trends with valid uncertainty quantification for a sequence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have received an increased interest in the last years. In BNNs, a complete posterior distribution of the unknown weight and bias parameters of the network is produced during the training stage. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Yunshi Huang , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are commonly used to capture spatial correlation in areal unit data, and are typically specified as a prior distribution for a set of random effects, as part of a hierarchical Bayesian model. The…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-05-17 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

We propose a novel class of dynamic shrinkage processes for Bayesian time series and regression analysis. Building upon a global-local framework of prior construction, in which continuous scale mixtures of Gaussian distributions are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

In the density estimation model, the question of adaptive inference using P\'olya tree-type prior distributions is considered. A class of prior densities having a tree structure, called spike-and-slab P\'olya trees, is introduced. For this…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-18 Ismaël Castillo , Romain Mismer

In this work we propose and analyze a Hessian-based adaptive sparse quadrature to compute infinite-dimensional integrals with respect to the posterior distribution in the context of Bayesian inverse problems with Gaussian prior. Due to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-14 Peng Chen , Umberto Villa , Omar Ghattas

Bayesian analysis of functions and curves is considered, where warping and other geometrical transformations are often required for meaningful comparisons. We focus on two applications involving the classification of mouse vertebrae shape…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-12 Wen Cheng , Ian L. Dryden , Xianzheng Huang

This article introduces two absolutely continuous global-local shrinkage priors to enable stochastic variable selection in the context of high-dimensional matrix exponential spatial specifications. Existing approaches as a means to dealing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-02-06 Michael Pfarrhofer , Philipp Piribauer

Despite its long history, Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and variational training remain underused in practice: standard Gaussian posteriors misalign with network geometry, KL terms can be brittle in high dimensions, and implementations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Carlos Stein Brito

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-25 Leo L Duan , Alexander L Young , Akihiko Nishimura , David B Dunson

We begin by introducing a class of conditional density estimators based on local polynomial techniques. The estimators are boundary adaptive and easy to implement. We then study the (pointwise and) uniform statistical properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

We study the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms -- focusing on stochastic gradient descent (SGD) -- using a novel combination of PAC-Bayes and algorithmic stability. Importantly, our generalization bounds hold for all…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Ben London

We present a Bayesian nonparametric model for conditional distribution estimation using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The generative model we use is based on rejection sampling from a base model. Typical of BART models, our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-02 Yinpu Li , Antonio R. Linero , Jared S. Murray