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The recent work by (Rieger et al 2021) is concerned with the problem of extracting features from spatio-temporal geophysical signals. The authors introduce the complex rotated MCA (xMCA) to deal with lagged effects and non-orthogonality of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-16 D. Bueso , M. Piles , G. Camps-Valls

Remote sensing observations, products and simulations are fundamental sources of information to monitor our planet and its climate variability. Uncovering the main modes of spatial and temporal variability in Earth data is essential to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-02-12 Diego Bueso , Maria Piles , Gustau Camps-Valls

The low frequency variability of the extratropical atmosphere involves hemispheric-scale recurring, often persistent, states known as teleconnection patterns or regimes, which can have profound impact on predictability on intra-seasonal and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-31 Dmitry Mukhin , Abdel Hannachi , Tobias Braun , Norbert Marwan

In climate and atmospheric research, many phenomena involve more than one meteorological spatial processes covarying in space. To understand how one process is affected by another, maximum covariance analysis (MCA) is commonly applied.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-09 Wen-Ting Wang , Hsin-Cheng Huang

Technological developments and open data policies have made large, global environmental datasets accessible to everyone. For analysing such datasets, including spatiotemporal correlations using traditional models based on Gaussian processes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-01 Marius Appel , Edzer Pebesma

Sea ice cover in the Arctic and Antarctic is an important indicator of changes in the climate, with important environmental, economic and security consequences. The complexity of the spatio-temporal dynamics of sea ice makes it difficult to…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-11-06 James Hogg , Maria Fonoberova , Igor Mezic

While most spatial data can be modeled with the assumption that distant points are uncorrelated, some problems require dependence at both far and short distances. We introduce a model to directly incorporate dependence in phenomena that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-04 Joshua Hewitt , Jennifer A. Hoeting , James Done , Erin Towler

Current models for spatial extremes are concerned with the joint upper (or lower) tail of the distribution at two or more locations. Such models cannot account for teleconnection patterns of two-meter surface air temperature ($T_{2m}$) in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-12 Mitchell L. Krock , Adam H. Monahan , Michael L. Stein

Subseasonal forecasting, which is pivotal for agriculture, water resource management, and early warning of disasters, faces challenges due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have revolutionized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Detecting recurrent weather patterns and understanding the transitions between such regimes are key to advancing our knowledge on the low-frequency variability of the atmosphere and have important implications in terms of weather and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-24 Sebastian Springer , Vera Melinda Galfi , Alessandro Laio , Valerio Lucarini

Estimating the covariance structure of multivariate time series is a fundamental problem with a wide-range of real-world applications -- from financial modeling to fMRI analysis. Despite significant recent advances, current state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-12 Hrayr Harutyunyan , Daniel Moyer , Hrant Khachatrian , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Internal modes of climate variability, such as El Ni\~no and the North Atlantic Oscillation, can have strong influences upon distant weather patterns, effects that are referred to as "teleconnections". The extent to which anthropogenic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-30 Eran Vos , Peter Huybers , Eli Tziperman

Decadal-scale interactions between the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans play a crucial role in global climate variability through bidirectional teleconnections. Current climate models show persistent biases in representing these basin…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-08 Yan Xia , Yong-Fu Lin , Jin-Yi Yu , Walter Hannah , Mike Pritchard

Extreme weather events, rare yet profoundly impactful, are often accompanied by severe conditions. Increasing global temperatures are poised to exacerbate these events, resulting in greater human casualties, economic losses, and ecological…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-17 Yuhao Feng , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

This study investigates temporal variability in U.S. climate using harmonic decomposition techniques, specifically Fourier and wavelet transforms. Monthly temperature, precipitation, and drought index data from the National Oceanic and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-13 Thomas Xiao

The teleconnection between European climate and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) remains difficult to isolate in observations because of internal variability and anthropogenically-forced signals. Using model sensitivity experiments…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-03-18 Saïd Qasmi , Christophe Cassou , Julien Boé

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

In the marine environment, many fields have fluctuations over a large range of different spatial and temporal scales. These quantities can be nonlinear \red{and} non-stationary, and often interact with each other. A good method to study the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-01-20 Y. X. Huang , Francois G. Schmitt

The low-frequency variability of the mid-latitude atmosphere involves complex nonlinear and chaotic dynamical processes posing predictability challenges. It is characterized by sporadically recurring, often long-lived patterns of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-24 Dmitry Mukhin , Roman Samoilov , Abdel Hannachi

Studying extreme events and how they evolve in a changing climate is one of the most important current scientific challenges. Starting from complex climate models, a key difficulty is to be able to run long enough simulations in order to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-12-27 Francesco Ragone , Jeroen Wouters , Freddy Bouchet
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