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In this paper, the local asymptotic estimation for the supremum of a random walk and its applications are presented. The summands of the random walk have common long-tailed and generalized strong subexponential distribution. This…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-17 Yuebao Wang , Hui Xu , Dongya Cheng , Changjun Yu

A tail empirical process for heavy-tailed and right-censored data is introduced and its Gaussian approximation is established. In this context, a (weighted) new Hill-type estimator for positive extreme value index is proposed and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Louiza Soltane

Power-law probability distributions are widely used to model extreme statistical events in complex systems, with applications to a vast array of natural phenomena ranging from earthquakes to stock market crashes to pandemics. We show that…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-04-08 Wai-Keong Mok

We revisit the estimation of the extreme value index for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution. We introduce a new class of estimators which encompasses earlier proposals given in Worms and Worms (2014) and Beirlant et al.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-19 Jan Beirlant , Julien Worms , Rym Worms

Let $X, X_1, X_2,...$ be a sequence of non-degenerate i.i.d. random variables with mean zero. The best possible weighted approximations are investigated in $D[0, 1]$ for the partial sum processes $\{S_{[nt]}, 0\le t\le 1\}$, where…

概率论 · 数学 2007-11-12 Miklós Csörgő , Barbara Szyszkowicz , Qiying Wang

We study the asymptotic behavior of random variables of the form \begin{equation*} E_{\alpha}^i\left(x_1,\ldots,x_n\right)=\sum_{\left(b,d\right)\in \mathit{PH}_i\left(x_1,\ldots,x_n\right)} \left(d-b\right)^{\alpha} \end{equation*} where…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-07 Benjamin Schweinhart

Let $f(n)$ be a strongly additive complex valued arithmetic function. Under mild conditions on $f$, we prove the following weighted strong law of large numbers: if $ X,X_1,X_2,... $ is any sequence of integrable i.i.d. random variables,…

数论 · 数学 2017-07-13 Istvan Berkes , Michel Weber

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles, of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator of the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-09 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Djabrane Yahia

We obtain asymptotic approximations for the probability density function of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances. As a consequence, we deduce asymptotic approximations for the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-22 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

Some new survival distributions are introduced based on a generalised exponential function. This class of distributions includes heavy-tailed generalisations of exponential, Weibull and gamma distributions. Properties of the distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-03 Rose Baker

Heavy-tailed fluctuations and power law statistics pervade physics, finance, and economics, yet their origin is often ascribed to systems poised near criticality. Here we show that such behavior can emerge far from instability through a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-10-15 Virgile Troude , Didier Sornette

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

Given $n$ independent random marked $d$-vectors (points) $X_i$ distributed with a common density, define the measure $\nu_n=\sum_i\xi_i$, where $\xi_i$ is a measure (not necessarily a point measure) which stabilizes; this means that $\xi_i$…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Mathew D. Penrose

This work deals with the estimation of the extreme value index and extreme quantiles for heavy tailed data,randomly right truncated by another heavy tailed variable. Under mild assumptions and the condition thatthe truncated variable is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-16 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

We consider random orthonormal polynomials $$ P_{n}(x)=\sum_{i=0}^{n}\xi_{i}p_{i}(x), $$ where $\xi_{0}$, . . . , $\xi_{n}$ are independent random variables with zero mean, unit variance and uniformly bounded $(2+\ep_0)$-moments, and…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-02 Yen Do , Doron Lubinsky , Hoi H. Nguyen , Oanh Nguyen , Igor Pritsker

We extend Goldie's (1991) Implicit Renewal Theorem to enable the analysis of recursions on weighted branching trees. We illustrate the developed method by deriving the power tail asymptotics of the distributions of the solutions R to: R =_D…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-04 Predrag R. Jelenković , Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

In the paper we propose some new class of functions which is used to construct tail index estimators. Functions from this new class is non-monotone in general, but presents a product of two monotone functions: the power function and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-06 Vygantas Paulauskas , Marijus Vaičiulis

Both empirical and theoretical investigations of scale-free network models have found that large degrees in a network exert an outsized impact on its structure. However, the tools used to infer the tail behavior of degree distributions in…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-31 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang , Daren B. H. Cline

It was shown that when one disposes of a parametric information of the truncation distribution, the semiparametric estimator of the distribution function for truncated data (Wang, 1989) is more efficient than the nonparametric one. On the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-03 Saida Mancer , Abdelhakim Necir , Souad Benchaira