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This paper evaluates the generalization ability of classification models on out-of-distribution test sets without depending on ground truth labels. Common approaches often calculate an unsupervised metric related to a specific model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Yuchi Liu , Yifan Sun , Jingdong Wang , Liang Zheng

Background: Network propagation has been widely used for nearly 20 years to predict gene functions and phenotypes. Despite the popularity of this approach, little attention has been paid to the question of provenance tracing in this…

We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

We develop here a data-driven approach for disease recognition based on given symptoms, to be efficient tool for anomaly detection. In a clinical setting and when presented with a patient with a combination of traits, a doctor may wonder if…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-01 Abd AlRahman AlMomani , Erik Bollt

To curb the initial spread of SARS-CoV-2, many countries relied on nation-wide implementation of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures, resulting in substantial socio-economic impacts. Potentially, subnational implementations might have…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Mark M. Dekker , Luc E. Coffeng , Frank P. Pijpers , Debabrata Panja , Sake J. de Vlas

Missing data is frequently encountered in many areas of statistics. Propensity score weighting is a popular method for handling missing data. The propensity score method employs a response propensity model, but correct specification of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

Coronavirus COVID-19 spreads through the population mostly based on social contact. To gauge the potential for widespread contagion, to cope with associated uncertainty and to inform its mitigation, more accurate and robust modelling is…

In the post-pandemic era of COVID-19, hospitalization remains a primary public health concern and wastewater surveillance has become an important tool for monitoring its dynamics at the level of community. However, there is usually no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 K. Ken Peng , Charmaine B. Dean , Robert Delatolla , X. Joan Hu , Elizabeth Renouf

Measurement error is a common challenge for causal inference studies using electronic health record (EHR) data, where clinical outcomes and treatments are frequently mismeasured. Researchers often address measurement error by conducting…

In this paper, we estimate the seroprevalence against COVID-19 by country and derive the seroprevalence over the world. To estimate seroprevalence, we use serological surveys (also called the serosurveys) conducted within each country. When…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-01 Kwangmin Lee , Seongmin Kim , Seongil Jo , Jaeyong Lee

Nowcasting and forecasting of epidemic spreading rely on incidence series of reported cases to derive the fundamental epidemiological parameters for a given pathogen. Two relevant drawbacks for predictions are the unknown fractions of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-08-31 Guilherme S. Costa , Wesley Cota , Silvio C. Ferreira

Testing of symptomatic persons for infection with SARS-CoV-2 is occurring worldwide. We propose two types of case-control studies that can be carried out jointly in test-settings for symptomatic persons. The first, the test-negative…

A standard assumption for causal inference about the joint effects of time-varying treatment is that one has measured sufficient covariates to ensure that within covariate strata, subjects are exchangeable across observed treatment values,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-04 Andrew Ying , Wang Miao , Xu Shi , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Detection of defective members of large populations has been widely studied in the statistics community under the name "group testing", a problem which dates back to World War II when it was suggested for syphilis screening. There the main…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2009-09-28 Mahdi Cheraghchi , Ali Hormati , Amin Karbasi , Martin Vetterli

In epidemiology and social sciences, propensity score methods are popular for estimating treatment effects using observational data, and multiple imputation is popular for handling covariate missingness. However, how to appropriately use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-30 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Elizabeth A. Stuart

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, SIRD model, to allow for time varying parameters for real-time measurement of the stance of the COVID-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured using the generalized…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-11 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

Currently, the world seeks to find appropriate mitigation techniques to control and prevent the spread of the new SARS-CoV-2. In our paper herein, we present a peculiar Multi-Task Learning framework that jointly predicts the effect of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Bonaventure Chidube Molokwu , Shaon Bhatta Shuvo , Ziad Kobti , Anne Snowdon

This work investigates the benefits of implementing a systematic approach to social isolation policies during epidemics. We develop a mixed integer data-driven model predictive control (MPC) scheme based on an SIHRD model which is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-07-04 S. Z. Sayed Hassen , A. Aboudonia , J. Lygeros

Comparing outcomes across hospitals, often to identify underperforming hospitals, is a critical task in health services research. However, naive comparisons of average outcomes, such as surgery complication rates, can be misleading because…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Luke Keele , Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Rachel Kelz , Luke Miratrix

During the current Covid-19 pandemic in Italy, official data are collected with medical swabs following a pure convenience criterion which, at least in an early phase, has privileged the exam of patients showing evident symptoms. However,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-05-18 Francesca Bassi , Giuseppe Arbia , Pietro Demetrio Falorsi