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Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

When the data do not conform to the hypothesis of a known sampling-variance, the fitting of a constant to a set of measured values is a long debated problem. Given the data, fitting would require to find what measurand value is the most…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-07-21 Giovanni Mana , Enrico Massa , Maria Predescu

Hypothesis testing results often rely on simple, yet important assumptions about the behaviour of the distribution of p-values under the null and the alternative. We examine tests for one dimensional parameters of interest that converge to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-06 Yanbo Tang , Radu Craiu , Lei Sun

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric test of relative goodness of fit, where the goal is to compare two models, both of which may have unobserved latent variables, such that the marginal distribution of the observed variables is…

Two-sample hypothesis testing-determining whether two sets of data are drawn from the same distribution-is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning with broad scientific applications. In the context of nonparametric testing,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Antoine Chatalic , Marco Letizia , Nicolas Schreuder , Lorenzo Rosasco

There is a well-known problem in Null Hypothesis Significance Testing: many statistically significant results fail to replicate in subsequent experiments. We show that this problem arises because standard `point-form null' significance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence minimization for models satisfying linear constraints with unknown parameter. Several statistical examples and motivations are given. These procedures extend the empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-24 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

Difficulties may arise when analyzing longitudinal data using mixed-effects models if there are nonparametric functions present in the linear predictor component. This study extends the use of semiparametric mixed-effects modeling in cases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Mozhgan Taavoni , Mohammad Arashi

Statistical models that include random effects are commonly used to analyze longitudinal and correlated data, often with strong and parametric assumptions about the random effects distribution. There is marked disagreement in the literature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-11 Charles E. McCulloch , John M. Neuhaus

The finite sensitivity of instruments or detection methods means that data sets in many areas of astronomy, for example cosmological or exoplanet surveys, are necessarily systematically incomplete. Such data sets, where the population being…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-10-14 Adam B. Mantz

The causal inference model proposed by Lee (2008) for the regression discontinuity design (RDD) relies on assumptions that imply the continuity of the density of the assignment (running) variable. The test for this implication is commonly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-28 Federico Crippa

To overcome the drawbacks of Shannon's entropy, the concept of cumulative residual and past entropy has been proposed in the information theoretic literature. Furthermore, the Shannon entropy has been generalized in a number of different…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Chanchal Kundu , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

The study of associations and their causal explanations is a central research activity whose methodology varies tremendously across fields. Even within specialized subfields, comparisons across textbooks and journals reveals that the basics…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-13 Sander Greenland

Determining and measuring cause-effect relationships is fundamental to most scientific studies of natural phenomena. The notion of causation is distinctly different from correlation which only looks at association of trends or patterns in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-22 Aditi Kathpalia , Nithin Nagaraj

Extending to dimension 2 and higher the dual univariate concepts of ranks and quantiles has remained an open problem for more than half a century. Based on measure transportation results, a solution has been proposed recently under the name…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-10 Marc Hallin , Gilles Mordant

There are two reasons why uncertainty may not be adequately described by Probability Theory. The first one is due to unique or nearly-unique events, that either never realized or occurred too seldom for frequencies to be reliably measured.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-03-17 Florian Ellsaesser , Guido Fioretti , Gail E. James

Friedman test is a nonparametric method that proposed for analyzing data from a randomized complete block design as a robust alternative to parametric method and widely applied in many fields such as agriculture, biology, business,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-21 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

The paper introduces a novel approach to global sensitivity analysis, grounded in the variance-covariance structure of random variables derived from random measures. The proposed methodology facilitates the application of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Caleb Deen Bastian , Herschel Rabitz , Grzegorz A Rempala

Quantifying uncertainty in detected changepoints is an important problem. However it is challenging as the naive approach would use the data twice, first to detect the changes, and then to test them. This will bias the test, and can lead to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Rachel Carrington , Paul Fearnhead

Difference-in-differences is a widely-used evaluation strategy that draws causal inference from observational panel data. Its causal identification relies on the assumption of parallel trends, which is scale dependent and may be…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-25 Peng Ding , Fan Li