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Data point selection (DPS) is becoming a critical topic in deep learning due to the ease of acquiring uncurated training data compared to the difficulty of obtaining curated or processed data. Existing approaches to DPS are predominantly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Xinnuo Xu , Minyoung Kim , Royson Lee , Brais Martinez , Timothy Hospedales

Ensembles of geophysical models improve projection accuracy and express uncertainties. We develop a novel data-driven ensembling strategy for combining geophysical models using Bayesian Neural Networks, which infers spatiotemporally varying…

The increasing installation of Photovoltaics (PV) cells leads to more generation of renewable energy sources (RES), but results in increased uncertainties of energy scheduling. Predicting PV power generation is important for energy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Hui Song , Zheng Miao , Ali Babalhavaeji , Saman Mehrnia , Mahdi Jalili , Xinghuo Yu

It is essential to find solar predictive methods to massively insert renewable energies on the electrical distribution grid. The goal of this study is to find the best methodology allowing predicting with high accuracy the hourly global…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-20 Cyril Voyant , C. Darras , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet , Philippe Poggi

Probabilistic forecasts of renewable energy production provide users with valuable information about the uncertainty associated with the expected generation. Current state-of-the-art forecasts for solar irradiance have focused on producing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-10-28 Emil B. Iversen , Juan M. Morales , Jan K. Møller , Henrik Madsen

Wind energy forecasting helps to manage power production, and hence, reduces energy cost. Deep Neural Networks (DNN) mimics hierarchical learning in the human brain and thus possesses hierarchical, distributed, and multi-task learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-01 Asifullah Khan , Aneela Zameer , Tauseef Jamal , Ahmad Raza

The problem of state estimation for unobservable distribution systems is considered. A deep learning approach to Bayesian state estimation is proposed for real-time applications. The proposed technique consists of distribution learning of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-26 Kursat Rasim Mestav , Jaime Luengo-Rozas , Lang Tong

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been long considered an ideal, yet unscalable solution for improving the robustness and the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks. While they could capture more accurately the posterior…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-26 Gianni Franchi , Andrei Bursuc , Emanuel Aldea , Severine Dubuisson , Isabelle Bloch

This paper proposes a novel computationally efficient algorithm for optimal sizing of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) considering renewable energy bidding strategies. Unlike existing two-stage methods, our algorithm enables the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-24 Taiyo Mantani , Hikaru Hoshino , Tomonari Kanazawa , Eiko Furutani

3D microscopy is key in the investigation of diverse biological systems, and the ever increasing availability of large datasets demands automatic cell identification methods that not only are accurate, but also can imply the uncertainty in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-24 Alvaro Gomariz , Tiziano Portenier , César Nombela-Arrieta , Orcun Goksel

Training deep generative models with maximum likelihood remains a challenge. The typical workaround is to use variational inference (VI) and maximize a lower bound to the log marginal likelihood of the data. Variational auto-encoders (VAEs)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Adji B. Dieng , John Paisley

A key challenge in the development of materials for the next generation of solar cells, sensors and transistors is linking macroscopic device performance to underlying microscopic properties. For years, fabrication of devices has been…

Higher penetration of renewable and smart home technologies at the residential level challenges grid stability as utility-customer interactions add complexity to power system operations. In response, short-term residential load forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Bharat Bohara , Raymond I. Fernandez , Vysali Gollapudi , Xingpeng Li

Large multilayer neural networks trained with backpropagation have recently achieved state-of-the-art results in a wide range of problems. However, using backprop for neural net learning still has some disadvantages, e.g., having to tune a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-16 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Ryan P. Adams

Deep feedforward neural networks (DFNNs) are a powerful tool for functional approximation. We describe flexible versions of generalized linear and generalized linear mixed models incorporating basis functions formed by a DFNN. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nghia Nguyen , David Nott , Robert Kohn

Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

This paper addresses the energy management of a grid-connected renewable generation plant coupled with a battery energy storage device in the capacity firming market, designed to promote renewable power generation facilities in small…

Bayesian Last Layer (BLL) models focus solely on uncertainty in the output layer of neural networks, demonstrating comparable performance to more complex Bayesian models. However, the use of Gaussian priors for last layer weights in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-08 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Shigui Li , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Solar-powered base stations are a promising approach to sustainable telecommunications infrastructure. However, the successful deployment of solar-powered base stations requires precise prediction of the energy harvested by photovoltaic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-29 Yawen Guo , Sonia Naderi , Colleen Josephson