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We develop a new method to sample from posterior distributions in hierarchical models without using Markov chain Monte Carlo. This method, which is a variant of importance sampling ideas, is generally applicable to high-dimensional models…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

A central task in many applications is reasoning about processes that change over continuous time. Continuous-Time Bayesian Networks is a general compact representation language for multi-component continuous-time processes. However, exact…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

Gibbs sampling is a widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for numerically approximating integrals of interest in Bayesian statistics and other mathematical sciences. Many implementations of MCMC methods do not extend easily to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-03 Alexander Terenin , Shawfeng Dong , David Draper

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are frequently used to perform inference under a Bayesian modeling framework. Convergence diagnostics, such as traceplots, the Gelman-Rubin potential scale reduction factor, and effective sample…

We consider three Bayesian penalized regression models and show that the respective deterministic scan Gibbs samplers are geometrically ergodic regardless of the dimension of the regression problem. We prove geometric ergodicity of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-05 Dootika Vats

We study Bayesian estimation of finite mixture models in a general setup where the number of components is unknown and allowed to grow with the sample size. An assumption on growing number of components is a natural one as the degree of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-18 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

We consider Bayesian estimation of a hierarchical linear model (HLM) from partially observed data, assumed to be missing at random, and small sample sizes. A vector of continuous covariates $C$ includes cluster-level partially observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-03 Dongho Shin , Yongyun Shin , Nao Hagiwara

We study the computational complexity of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression under sparsity constraints. We first show that a Bayesian approach can achieve variable-selection consistency…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-01 Yun Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

The Gibbs sampler (a.k.a. Glauber dynamics and heat-bath algorithm) is a popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm which iteratively samples from the conditional distributions of a probability measure $\pi$ of interest. Under the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Filippo Ascolani , Hugo Lavenant , Giacomo Zanella

This paper introduces a concept of approximate spectral gap to analyze the mixing time of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for which the usual spectral gap is degenerate or almost degenerate. We use the idea to analyze a class of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Yves F. Atchadé

In order to sample from a given target distribution (often of Gibbs type), the Monte Carlo Markov chain method consists in constructing an ergodic Markov process whose invariant measure is the target distribution. By sampling the Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-11 Luc Rey-Bellet , Kostantinos Spiliopoulos

We investigate how ideas from covariance localization in numerical weather prediction can be used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of high-dimensional posterior distributions arising in Bayesian inverse problems. To localize an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-09 Matthias Morzfeld , Xin T. Tong , Youssef M. Marzouk

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a popular approach to capturing unobserved heterogeneity across individual units. However, standard estimation methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be impracticable for modeling outcomes from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

Hit-and-Run is a coordinate-free Gibbs sampler, yet the quantitative advantages of its coordinate-free property remain largely unexplored beyond empirical studies. In this paper, we prove sharp estimates for the Wasserstein contraction of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-20 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Andreas Eberle , Stefan Oberdörster

Let $\pi$ denote the intractable posterior density that results when the likelihood from a multivariate linear regression model with errors from a scale mixture of normals is combined with the standard non-informative prior. There is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-02 Qian Qin , James P. Hobert

We propose a general framework using spike-and-slab prior distributions to aid with the development of high-dimensional Bayesian inference. Our framework allows inference with a general quasi-likelihood function. We show that highly…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-21 Yves Atchade , Anwesha Bhattacharyya

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

Gibbs sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo method that is often used for learning and inference on graphical models. Minibatching, in which a small random subset of the graph is used at each iteration, can help make Gibbs sampling scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-25 Ruqi Zhang , Christopher De Sa

While there have been a lot of recent developments in the context of Bayesian model selection and variable selection for high dimensional linear models, there is not much work in the presence of change point in literature, unlike the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Nilabja Guha , Jyotishka Datta