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While most classical approaches to Granger causality detection repose upon linear time series assumptions, many interactions in neuroscience and economics applications are nonlinear. We develop an approach to nonlinear Granger causality…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-26 Alex Tank , Ian Cover , Nicholas J. Foti , Ali Shojaie , Emily B. Fox

Granger causality analysis, as one of the most popular time series causality methods, has been widely used in the economics, neuroscience. However, unobserved confounders is a fundamental problem in the observational studies, which is still…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-10 Yuan Meng

It is a challenging research endeavor to infer causal relationships in multivariate observational time-series. Such data may be represented by graphs, where nodes represent time-series, and edges directed causal influence scores between…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-05-09 Axel Wismüller , Ali Vosoughi , Adora DSouza , Anas Abidin

Granger causality is well established within the neurosciences for inference of directed functional connectivity from neurophysiological data. These data usually consist of time series which subsample a continuous-time biophysiological…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-08 Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

Granger causality is widely used for causal structure discovery in complex systems from multivariate time series data. Traditional Granger causality tests based on linear models often fail to detect even mild non-linear causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Inferring causal relationships in observational time series data is an important task when interventions cannot be performed. Granger causality is a popular framework to infer potential causal mechanisms between different time series. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

In this paper, we propose a new Granger causality measure which is robust against the confounding influence of latent common inputs. This measure is inspired by partial Granger causality in the literature, and its variant. Using numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Takashi Arai

Granger causality has been employed to investigate causality relations between components of stationary multiple time series. We generalize this concept by developing statistical inference for local Granger causality for multivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi , Hernando Ombao

Granger causality is a statistical notion of causal influence based on prediction via vector autoregression. For Gaussian variables it is equivalent to transfer entropy, an information-theoretic measure of time-directed information transfer…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-02-17 Sebastiano Stramaglia , Tomas Scagliarini , Yuri Antonacci , Luca Faes

We study Granger causality testing for high-dimensional time series using regularized regressions. To perform proper inference, we rely on heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) estimation of the asymptotic variance and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-02 Andrii Babii , Eric Ghysels , Jonas Striaukas

The problem of estimating high-dimensional network models arises naturally in the analysis of many physical, biological and socio-economic systems. Examples include stock price fluctuations in financial markets and gene regulatory networks…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-09 Sumanta Basu , Ali Shojaie , George Michailidis

Granger causal inference is a contentious but widespread method used in fields ranging from economics to neuroscience. The original definition addresses the notion of causality in time series by establishing functional dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

Longitudinal analysis is important in many disciplines, such as the study of behavioral transitions in social science. Only very recently, feature selection has drawn adequate attention in the context of longitudinal modeling. Standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Tingyang Xu , Jiangwen Sun , Jinbo Bi

We study Ising models for describing data and show that autoregressive methods may be used to learn their connections, also in the case of asymmetric connections and for multi-spin interactions. For each link the linear Granger causality is…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2015-05-18 Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Granger causality, a popular method for determining causal influence between stochastic processes, is most commonly estimated via linear autoregressive modeling. However, this approach has a serious drawback: if the process being modeled…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-29 Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-23 Chainarong Amornbunchornvej , Elena Zheleva , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

Causality in time series can be challenging to determine, especially in the presence of non-linear dependencies. Granger causality helps analyze potential relationships between variables, thereby offering a method to determine whether one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Harsh Poonia , Felix Divo , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

Introduced more than a half century ago, Granger causality has become a popular tool for analyzing time series data in many application domains, from economics and finance to genomics and neuroscience. Despite this popularity, the validity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-10 Ali Shojaie , Emily B. Fox

An approach is proposed for inferring Granger causality between jointly stationary, Gaussian signals from quantized data. First, a necessary and sufficient rank criterion for the equality of two conditional Gaussian distributions is proved.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-07 Salman Ahmadi , Girish N. Nair , Erik Weyer

While most classical approaches to Granger causality detection assume linear dynamics, many interactions in real-world applications, like neuroscience and genomics, are inherently nonlinear. In these cases, using linear models may lead to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-16 Alex Tank , Ian Covert , Nicholas Foti , Ali Shojaie , Emily Fox
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