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Risk stratification is most directly and informatively summarized as a risk distribution curve. From this curve the ROC curve, predictiveness curve, and other curves depicting risk stratification can be derived, demonstrating that they…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2009-12-17 Ralph Stern

Assessment of risk prediction models has primarily utilized measures of discrimination, the ROC curve AUC and C-statistic. These derive from the risk distributions of patients and nonpatients, which in turn are derived from a population…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-12-05 Ralph H. Stern

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the ROC curve are widely used to compare the performance of diagnostic and prognostic assays. The ROC curve has the advantage that it is independent of…

The Area Under the the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve, referred to as AUC, is a well-known performance measure in the supervised learning domain. Due to its compelling features, it has been employed in a number of studies to…

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is the standard measure of a biomarker's discriminatory accuracy; however, naive AUC estimates can be misleading when validation cohorts differ from the intended target population. Such covariate shifts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Jiajun Liu , Guangcai Mao , Xiaofei Wang

In analysis of binary outcomes, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve is heavily used to show the performance of a model or algorithm. The ROC curve is informative about the performance over a series of thresholds and can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-10 John Muschelli

When evaluating medical tests or biomarkers for disease classification, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a widely used performance metric that does not require us to commit to a specific decision…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Wanhua Su , Yan Yuan , Mu Zhu

Background: Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used to evaluate the performance of Software Defect Prediction (SDP) models that estimate module fault-proneness, i.e., the probability that a module is faulty. A ROC…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Luigi Lavazza , Gabriele Rotoloni , Sandro Morasca

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an informative tool in binary classification and Area Under ROC Curve (AUC) is a popular metric for reporting performance of binary classifiers. In this paper, first we present a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-14 Khashayar Namdar , Masoom A. Haider , Farzad Khalvati

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely used performance metric for binary classifiers. However, as a global ranking statistic, the AUC aggregates model behavior over the entire dataset, masking localized weaknesses in specific…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Agus Sudjianto , Alice J. Liu

Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) is a popular evaluation metric for binary classifiers. In this paper, we discuss techniques to segment the AUC-ROC along human-interpretable dimensions. AUC-ROC is not an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-25 Arya Tafvizi , Besim Avci , Mukund Sundararajan

The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) has become a popular index not only for measuring the overall prediction capacity of a marker but also the association strength between continuous and binary variables. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Pablo Martinez-Camblor , Sonia Perez-Fernandez , Lucas L. Dwiel , Wilder T. Doucette

The proper use of model evaluation metrics is important for model evaluation and model selection in binary classification tasks. This study investigates how consistent different metrics are at evaluating models across data of different…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Jing Li

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and its summary measure, the Area Under the Curve (AUC), are well-established tools for evaluating the efficacy of biomarkers in biomedical studies. Compared to the traditional ROC curve,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Ziad Akram Ali Hammouri , Yating Zou , Rahul Ghosal , Juan C. Vidal , Marcos Matabuena

Throughout science and technology, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and associated area under the curve (AUC) measures constitute powerful tools for assessing the predictive abilities of features, markers and tests in binary…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-25 Tilmann Gneiting , Eva-Maria Walz

In high-stakes risk prediction, quantifying uncertainty through interval-valued predictions is essential for reliable decision-making. However, standard evaluation tools like the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Yuqi Li , Matthew M. Engelhard

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of a binary classifier has often been utilized to measure the performance of the classifier. The area beneath this curve is used in particular because of its quoted probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Steven Redolfi

Optimal performance is critical for decision-making tasks from medicine to autonomous driving, however common performance measures may be too general or too specific. For binary classifiers, diagnostic tests or prognosis at a timepoint,…

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

The performance of risk prediction models is often characterized in terms of discrimination and calibration. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is widely used for evaluating model discrimination. When evaluating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Paramita Saha-Chaudhuri , John Petkau
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