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Collective, especially group-based, managerial decision making is crucial in organizations. Using an evolutionary theoretic approach to collective decision making, agent-based simulations were conducted to investigate how human collective…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2019-02-20 Shelley D. Dionne , Hiroki Sayama , Francis J. Yammarino

There is significant growth and interest in the use of synthetic data as an enabler for machine learning in environments where the release of real data is restricted due to privacy or availability constraints. Despite a large number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Harrison Wilde , Jack Jewson , Sebastian Vollmer , Chris Holmes

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

Online discussion threads are important means for individual decision-making and for aggregating collective judgments, e.g. the `wisdom of crowds'. Empirical investigations of the wisdom of crowds are currently ambivalent about the role…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-03-15 Robin Engelhardt , Vincent F. Hendricks , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard

Content moderation is a widely used strategy to prevent the dissemination of irregular information on social media platforms. Despite extensive research on developing automated models to support decision-making in content moderation, there…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-08-23 Wangjiaxuan Xin , Kanlun Wang , Zhe Fu , Lina Zhou

Every interaction of a living organism with its environment involves the placement of a bet. Armed with partial knowledge about a stochastic world, the organism must decide its next step or near-term strategy, an act that implicitly or…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-30 Philipp Fleig , Vijay Balasubramanian

Collaborative tagging systems, such as Delicious, CiteULike, and others, allow users to annotate resources, e.g., Web pages or scientific papers, with descriptive labels called tags. The social annotations contributed by thousands of users,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-05-28 Anon Plangprasopchok , Kristina Lerman

This paper investigates the knowledge of language models from the perspective of Bayesian epistemology. We explore how language models adjust their confidence and responses when presented with evidence with varying levels of informativeness…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Minsu Kim , Sangryul Kim , James Thorne

From fake social media accounts and generative artificial intelligence chatbots to trading algorithms and self-driving vehicles, robots, bots and algorithms are proliferating and permeating our communication channels, social interactions,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Milena Tsvetkova , Taha Yasseri , Niccolo Pescetelli , Tobias Werner

Motivated reasoning posits that people distort how they process information in the direction of beliefs they find attractive. This paper creates a novel experimental design to identify motivated reasoning from Bayesian updating when people…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-26 Michael Thaler

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

Generating models from large data sets -- and determining which subsets of data to mine -- is becoming increasingly automated. However choosing what data to collect in the first place requires human intuition or experience, usually supplied…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2014-05-20 Josh C. Bongard , Paul D. H. Hines , Dylan Conger , Peter Hurd , Zhenyu Lu

Community effects on the behaviour of individuals, the community itself and other communities can be observed in a wide range of applications. This is true in scientific research, where communities of researchers have increasingly to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2010-12-01 Václav Belák , Marcel Karnstedt , Conor Hayes

Effective collaboration between humans and AI-based systems requires effective modeling of the human in the loop, both in terms of the mental state as well as the physical capabilities of the latter. However, these models can also open up…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-31 Tathagata Chakraborti , Subbarao Kambhampati

Social media platforms are often criticized for fostering antisocial behavior rather than prosocial behavior. Yet, testing interventions to encourage prosocial dispositions, such as open-mindedness, has been hindered by researchers' limited…

We introduce Social Bayesian Optimization (SBO), a vote-efficient algorithm for consensus-building in collective decision-making. In contrast to single-agent scenarios, collective decision-making encompasses group dynamics that may distort…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Masaki Adachi , Siu Lun Chau , Wenjie Xu , Anurag Singh , Michael A. Osborne , Krikamol Muandet

We explore Bayesian reasoning as a means to quantify uncertainty in neural networks for question answering. Starting with a multilayer perceptron on the Iris dataset, we show how posterior inference conveys confidence in predictions. We…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Riccardo Di Sipio

This paper presents a Bayesian method for constructing Bayesian belief networks from a database of cases. Potential applications include computer-assisted hypothesis testing, automated scientific discovery, and automated construction of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Gregory F. Cooper , Edward H. Herskovits

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

This is a programmatic paper, marking out two directions in which the study of social media can contribute to broader problems of social science: understanding cultural evolution and understanding collective cognition. Under the first…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2007-10-26 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi