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Monte Carlo sampling of any system may be analyzed in terms of an associated glass model -- a variant of the Random Energy Model -- with, whenever there is a sign problem, complex fields. This model has three types of phases (liquid, frozen…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-01-17 Gustavo During , Jorge Kurchan

The work presents the recent developments in Quantum Monte Carlo calculations for nuclear systems including strange degrees of freedom. The Auxiliary Field Diffusion Monte Carlo algorithm has been extended to the strange sector by the…

核理论 · 物理学 2013-11-27 Diego Lonardoni

Given a real matrix A with n columns, the problem is to approximate the Gram product AA^T by c << n weighted outer products of columns of A. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the exact computation of AA^T (in exact arithmetic) from c…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-05-16 John T. Holodnak , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

Classifying variable stars is key for understanding stellar evolution and galactic dynamics. With the demands of large astronomical surveys, machine learning models, especially attention-based neural networks, have become the…

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

In this paper we have used simulations to make a conjecture about the coverage of a $t$ dimensional subspace of a $d$ dimensional parameter space of size $n$ when performing $k$ trials of Latin Hypercube sampling. This takes the form…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-24 Kevin Burrage , Pamela Burrage , Diane Donovan , Bevan Thompson

Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. F. W. van Hameren

Motivated by the Beck-Fiala conjecture, we study the discrepancy problem in two related models of random hypergraphs on $n$ vertices and $m$ edges. In the first (edge-independent) model, a random hypergraph $H_1$ is constructed by fixing a…

组合数学 · 数学 2024-01-12 Calum MacRury , Tomáš Masařík , Leilani Pai , Xavier Pérez-Giménez

In this paper we propose an acceptance-rejection sampler using stratified inputs as diver sequence. We estimate the discrepancy of the points generated by this algorithm. First we show an upper bound on the star discrepancy of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-08-11 Houying Zhu , Josef Dick

Testing between hypotheses, when independent sampling is possible, is a well developed subject. In this paper, we propose hypothesis tests that are applicable when the samples are obtained using Markov chain Monte Carlo. These tests are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-14 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin

The Monte Carlo dropout method has proved to be a scalable and easy-to-use approach for estimating the uncertainty of deep neural network predictions. This approach was recently applied to Fault Detection and Di-agnosis (FDD) applications…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-11 Baihong Jin , Yingshui Tan , Yuxin Chen , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli

This paper addresses finite sample stability properties of sequential Monte Carlo methods for approximating sequences of probability distributions. The results presented herein are applicable in the scenario where the start and end…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Nick Whiteley

We consider the numerical solution of scalar, nonlinear degenerate convection-diffusion problems with random diffusion coefficient and with random flux functions. Building on recent results on the existence, uniqueness and continuous…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2013-11-08 U. Koley , N. H. Risebro , Ch. Schwab , F. Weber

We prove a bound on the finite sample error of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) on static spaces using the $L_2$ distance between interpolating distributions and the mixing times of Markov kernels. This result is unique in that it is the first…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Joe Marion , Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

We recently demonstrated that standard fixed-time lattice random-walk models cannot be modified to properly represent biased diffusion processes in more than two dimensions. The origin of this fundamental limitation appears to be the fact…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Michel G. Gauthier , Gary W. Slater

If $\mu$ is a distribution over the $d$-dimensional Boolean cube $\{0,1\}^d$, our goal is to estimate its mean $p\in[0,1]^d$ based on $n$ iid draws from $\mu$. Specifically, we consider the empirical mean estimator $\hat p_n$ and study the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-30 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich

The fitting of the observed redshifts and magnitudes of type Ia supernovae to what we would see in homogeneous cosmological models has led to constraints on cosmological parameters. However, in doing such fits it is assumed that the sampled…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2010-11-11 R. Ali Vanderveld

Assessing the consistency of parameter constraints derived from different cosmological probes is an important way to test the validity of the underlying cosmological model. In an earlier work [Nicola et al., 2017], we computed constraints…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-01 Andrina Nicola , Adam Amara , Alexandre Refregier

For the task of sampling from a density $\pi \propto \exp(-V)$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, where $V$ is possibly non-convex but $L$-gradient Lipschitz, we prove that averaged Langevin Monte Carlo outputs a sample with $\varepsilon$-relative Fisher…

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter