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Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is an efficient approach for the control of nonlinear multivariable dynamic systems with constraints, which however requires an accurate plant model. Plant models can often be determined from first…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-17 E. Bradford , L. Imsland , M. Reble , E. A. del Rio-Chanona

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a class of flexible non-parametric models that have rich representational power. By using a Gaussian process with additive structure, complex responses can be modelled whilst retaining interpretability.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Xiaoyu Lu , Alexis Boukouvalas , James Hensman

We study the sparsity and optimality properties of crowd navigation and find that existing techniques do not satisfy both criteria simultaneously: either they achieve optimality with a prohibitive number of samples or tractability…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2017-05-11 Pete Trautman

We consider a class of misspecified dynamical models where the governing term is only approximately known. Under the assumption that observations of the system's evolution are accessible for various initial conditions, our goal is to infer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-06 Gal Shulkind , Lior Horesh , Haim Avron

Over the last two decades, the science has come a long way from relying on only physical experiments and observations to experimentation using computer simulators. This chapter focusses on the modelling and analysis of data arising from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-22 M. Harshvardhan , Pritam Ranjan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are broadly used as surrogate models for expensive computer simulators of complex phenomena. However, a key bottleneck is that its training data are generated from this expensive simulator and thus can be highly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Liang Ding , Simon Mak , C. F. Jeff Wu

We introduce Deep Jump Gaussian Processes (DJGP), a novel method for surrogate modeling of a piecewise continuous function on a high-dimensional domain. DJGP addresses the limitations of conventional Jump Gaussian Processes (JGP) in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Yang Xu , Chiwoo Park

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

In this paper we present a novel analysis of variance Gaussian process (ANOVA-GP) emulator for models governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with high-dimensional random inputs. Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used surrogate…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-05-14 Chen Chen , Qifeng Liao

Model selection aims to find the best model in terms of accuracy, interpretability or simplicity, preferably all at once. In this work, we focus on evaluating model performance of Gaussian process models, i.e. finding a metric that provides…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Andreas Besginow , Jan David Hüwel , Thomas Pawellek , Christian Beecks , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Gaussian process (GP) based Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions efficiently. The practical performance and theoretical guarantees of this approach depend on having the correct GP hyperparameter…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-07 Huong Ha , Vu Nguyen , Hung Tran-The , Hongyu Zhang , Xiuzhen Zhang , Anton van den Hengel

We consider the problem of learning the level set for which a noisy black-box function exceeds a given threshold. To efficiently reconstruct the level set, we investigate Gaussian process (GP) metamodels. Our focus is on strongly stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Xiong Lyu , Mickael Binois , Michael Ludkovski

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular method for black-box optimization, which relies on uncertainty as part of its decision-making process when deciding which experiment to perform next. However, not much work has addressed the effect of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Jonathan Foldager , Mikkel Jordahn , Lars Kai Hansen , Michael Riis Andersen

The vast quantity of information brought by big data as well as the evolving computer hardware encourages success stories in the machine learning community. In the meanwhile, it poses challenges for the Gaussian process (GP) regression, a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-10 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Xiaobo Shen , Jianfei Cai

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

A systematic approach based on the principles of supervised learning and design of experiments concepts is introduced to build a surrogate model for estimating the optical properties of fractal aggregates. The surrogate model is built on…

光学 · 物理学 2019-09-10 Ozan Burak Ericok , Atay Kaan Ozbek , Ali Taylan Cemgil , Hakan Erturk

Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk