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Deep Learning Gaussian Processes (DL-GP) are proposed as a methodology for analyzing (approximating) computer models that produce heteroskedastic and high-dimensional output. Computer simulation models have many areas of applications,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Gaussian process (GP) methods have been widely studied recently, especially for large-scale systems with big data and even more extreme cases when data is sparse. Key advantages of these methods consist in: 1) the ability to provide…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Chenyi Lyu , Xingchi Liu , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Mechanistic mathematical models of biological systems usually contain a number of unknown parameters whose values need to be estimated from available experimental data in order for the models to be validated and used to make quantitative…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-06-16 Yue Liu , Philip K. Maini , Ruth E. Baker

Machine learning algorithms frequently require careful tuning of model hyperparameters, regularization terms, and optimization parameters. Unfortunately, this tuning is often a "black art" that requires expert experience, unwritten rules of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-08-30 Jasper Snoek , Hugo Larochelle , Ryan P. Adams

We present an approach for satisfying state constraints in systems with nonparametric uncertainty by estimating this uncertainty with a real-time-update Gaussian process (GP) model. Notably, new data is incorporated into the model in real…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-13 Ricardo Gutierrez , Jesse B. Hoagg

For developing innovative systems architectures, modeling and optimization techniques have been central to frame the architecting process and define the optimization and modeling problems. In this context, for system-of-systems the use of…

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

We introduce a novel procedure that, given sparse data generated from a stationary deterministic nonlinear dynamical system, can characterize specific local and/or global dynamic behavior with rigorous probability guarantees. More…

Bayesian hyperparameter optimization relies heavily on Gaussian Process (GP) surrogates, due to robust distributional posteriors and strong performance on limited training samples. GPs however underperform in categorical hyperparameter…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Riccardo Doyle

We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-06-09 Christopher DeGrendele , Dongwook Lee

Projection-based model reduction is among the most widely adopted methods for constructing parametric Reduced-Order Models (ROM). Utilizing the snapshot data from solving full-order governing equations, the Proper Orthogonal Decomposition…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Xiao Liu , Jingyi Feng , Xinchao Liu

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

Physics phenomena are often described by ordinary and/or partial differential equations (ODEs/PDEs), and solved analytically or numerically. Unfortunately, many real-world systems are described only approximately with missing or unknown…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Gurjeet Sangra Singh , Maciej Falkiewicz , Alexandros Kalousis

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

Gaussian processes (GPs) are used to make medical and scientific decisions, including in cardiac care and monitoring of atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. Notably, the choice of GP kernel is often somewhat arbitrary. In particular,…

Bayesian optimisation requires fitting a Gaussian process model, which in turn requires specifying prior on the unknown black-box function -- most of the theoretical literature assumes this prior is known. However, it is common to have more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Juliusz Ziomek , Masaki Adachi , Michael A. Osborne

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

We provide a survey of nonstationary surrogate models which utilize Gaussian processes (GPs) or variations thereof, including nonstationary kernel adaptations, partition and local GPs, and spatial warpings through deep Gaussian processes.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-04 Annie S. Booth , Andrew Cooper , Robert B. Gramacy