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Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus emerged in 2019, causing a COVID-19 pandemic that resulted in 7 million deaths out of 770 million reported cases over the next four years. The global health emergency called for unprecedented efforts to monitor…

Currently, the global situation of COVID-19 is aggravating, pressingly calling for efficient control and prevention measures. Understanding spreading pattern of COVID-19 has been widely recognized as a vital step for implementing…

There are many sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases and delayed reporting. For example, the number of confirmed cases largely…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery

In this work we propose the design principles of a stochastic graph-based model for the simulation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. The proposed approach incorporates three sub-models, namely, the spatial model, the mobility model, and the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-11 Christos Chondros , Stavros D. Nikolopoulos , Iosif Polenakis

Recent outbreak of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 has affected all of our lives in one way or the other. While medical researchers are working hard to find a cure and doctors/nurses to attend the affected individuals, measures such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-23 Arkaprava Roy , Sayar Karmakar

The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 resulted in large volumes of data shared on different social media platforms. Analyzing and visualizing these data is doubtlessly essential to having a deep understanding of the pandemic's impacts on people's…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Omar Abdel Wahab , Ali Mustafa , André Bertrand Abisseck Bamatakina

The outbreak of COVID-19 since Dec. 2019 has caused severe life and economic damage worldwide, many countries are trapped by medical resource constraints or absence of targeted therapeutics, and therefore the implement of systemic policies…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-15 Yubo Huang , Weidong Zhang

In this note we analyze the temporal dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak in China, Italy and France in the time window $22/01-09/03/2020$. A first analysis of simple day-lag maps points to some universality in the epidemic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-22 Duccio Fanelli , Francesco Piazza

Despite the progress in medical data collection the actual burden of SARS-CoV-2 remains unknown due to under-ascertainment of cases. This was apparent in the acute phase of the pandemic and the use of reported deaths has been pointed out as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Anastasia Chatzilena , Nikolaos Demiris , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

A comprehensive retrospective analysis of public health interventions, such as large scale testing, quarantining, and contact tracing, can help identify mechanisms most effective in mitigating COVID-19. We investigate China based SARS-CoV-2…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Zhou Yang , Edward Dougherty , Chen Zhang , Zhenhe Pan , Fang Jin

During a long-running pandemic a pathogen can mutate, producing new strains with different epidemiological parameters. Existing approaches to epidemic modelling only consider one virus strain. We have developed a modified SEIR model to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-06-17 Boris Tseytlin , Ilya Makarov

The 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19), emerged late December 2019 in China, is now rapidly spreading across the globe. At the time of writing this paper, the number of global confirmed cases has passed two millions and half with over…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-04-24 Sarah Alqurashi , Ahmad Alhindi , Eisa Alanazi

SARS-CoV-2 causing COVID-19 disease has moved rapidly around the globe, infecting millions and killing hundreds of thousands. The basic reproduction number, which has been widely used and misused to characterize the transmissibility of the…

The ongoing pandemic of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019. It has already affected more than 300,000 people, with the number of deaths nearing 13000 across the world. As it has been posing a huge…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Soudeep Deb , Manidipa Majumdar

In the last decade, humanity has faced many different pandemics such as SARS, H1N1, and presently novel coronavirus (COVID-19). On one side, scientists are focusing on vaccinations, and on the other side, there is a need to propose models…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-04-29 Rahul Goel , Rajesh Sharma

The Covid-19 pandemic has taken millions of lives, demonstrating the tragedy and disruption of respiratory diseases, and how difficult they can be to manage. However, there is still significant debate in the scientific community as to which…

The spread of COVID-19 caused by the recently discovered SARS-CoV-2 virus has become a worldwide problem with devastating consequences. To slow down the spread of the pandemic, mass quarantines have been implemented globally, provoking…

Coronavirus COVID-19 spreads through the population mostly based on social contact. To gauge the potential for widespread contagion, to cope with associated uncertainty and to inform its mitigation, more accurate and robust modelling is…

Currently, the world has been facing the brunt of a pandemic due to a disease called COVID-19 for the last 2 years. To study the spread of such infectious diseases it is important to not only understand their temporal evolution but also the…

生物物理 · 物理学 2023-08-01 Sourav Chowdhury , Suparna Roychowdhury , Indranath Chaudhuri