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By generating the specifics of a network structure only when needed (on-the-fly), we derive a simple stochastic process that exactly models the time evolution of susceptible-infectious dynamics on finite-size networks. The small number of…

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Building upon the rule-algebraic stochastic mechanics framework, we present new results on the relationship of stochastic rewriting systems described in terms of continuous-time Markov chains, their embedded discrete-time Markov chains and…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2021-02-05 Nicolas Behr

We suggest an approach to obtaining general two-sided bounds on the rate of convergence in terms of special "weighted" norms related to total variation. Some important classes of continuous-time Markov chains are considered:…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-15 A. Zeifman , V. Korolev

The expansion of global production networks has raised many important questions about the interdependence among countries and how future changes in the world economy are likely to affect the countries' positioning in global value chains. We…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-20 Olivera Kostoska , Viktor Stojkoski , Ljupco Kocarev

Dynamic processes in complex networks are crucial for better understanding collective behavior in human societies, biological systems, and the internet. In this paper, we first focus on the continuous Markov-based modeling of evolving…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Minyu Feng , Ziyan Zeng , Qin Li , Matjaž Perc , Jürgen Kurths

We introduce a rate balance principle for general (not necessarily Markovian) stochastic processes. Special attention is given to processes with birth and death like transitions, for which it is shown that for any state $i$, the rate of two…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-12 Binyamin Oz , Ivo Adan , Moshe Haviv

Normalizing flows, diffusion normalizing flows and variational autoencoders are powerful generative models. This chapter provides a unified framework to handle these approaches via Markov chains. We consider stochastic normalizing flows as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-06 Paul Hagemann , Johannes Hertrich , Gabriele Steidl

The aim of this paper is to study the large population limit of a binary branching particle system with Moran type interactions: we introduce a new model where particles evolve, reproduce and die independently and, with a probability that…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-12 Alexander M. G. Cox , Emma Horton , Denis Villemonais

Lattice birth-and-death Markov dynamics of particle systems with spins from the set of non-negative integers are constructed as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Pathwise uniqueness, strong existence, Markov property and…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-07 Viktor Bezborodov , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy

We study a variant of Hanski's incidence function model that allows habitat patch characteristics to vary over time following a Markov process. The widely studied case where patches are classified as either suitable or unsuitable is…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , Y. S. Chan

Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Reza Mohammadi , Matthew Pratola , Maurits Kaptein

We present a stability study of the class of multivariate self-excited Hawkes point processes, that can model natural and social systems, including earthquakes, epileptic seizures and the dynamics of neuron assemblies, bursts of exchanges…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-27 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

This work focuses on optimal harvesting-renewing for a stochastic population. A mixed regular-singular control formulation with a state constraint and regime-switching is introduced. The decision-makers either harvest or renew with finite…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-07 K. Q. Tran , L. T. N. Bich , George Yin

We introduce Generator Matching, a modality-agnostic framework for generative modeling using arbitrary Markov processes. Generators characterize the infinitesimal evolution of a Markov process, which we leverage for generative modeling in a…

The paper investigates a discrete time Binomial risk model with different types of polices and shock events may influence some of the claim sizes. It is shown that this model can be considered as a particular case of the classical compound…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-12 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva

We consider exchangeable Markov multi-state survival processes -- temporal processes taking values over a state-space$\mathcal{S}$ with at least one absorbing failure state $\flat \in \mathcal{S}$ that satisfy natural invariance properties…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-26 Walter Dempsey

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

The current paper focuses on studying the impact of immigration with an infinite mean, driven by a discrete-stable compound Poisson process, when it is entering the branching environment with infinite variance of reproduction. Our goal is…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova , Penka Mayster

In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher