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Heavy-tailed distributions are infamously difficult to estimate because their moments tend to infinity as the shape of the tail decay increases. Nevertheless, this study shows the utilization of a modified group of moments for estimating a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-31 Amenah AL-Najafi , Ugur Tirnakli , Kenric P. Nelson

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithms are widely used to approximate expectations with respect to complicated target probability distributions. When the target has heavy tails, existing AIS algorithms can provide inconsistent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Thomas Guilmeau , Nicola Branchini , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

Independent component analysis (ICA) is the problem of efficiently recovering a matrix $A \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ from i.i.d. observations of $X=AS$ where $S \in \mathbb{R}^n$ is a random vector with mutually independent coordinates.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-09-03 Joseph Anderson , Navin Goyal , Anupama Nandi , Luis Rademacher

We introduce a new class of heavy-tailed distributions for which any weighted average of independent and identically distributed random variables is larger than one such random variable in (usual) stochastic order. We show that many…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-18 Yuyu Chen , Seva Shneer

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles, of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator of the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-09 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Djabrane Yahia

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is the problem of learning a square matrix $A$, given samples of $X=AS$, where $S$ is a random vector with independent coordinates. Most existing algorithms are provably efficient only when each $S_i$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-24 Joseph Anderson , Navin Goyal , Anupama Nandi , Luis Rademacher

Stable distributions provide a flexible framework for modeling heavy-tailed and skewed data, with the stability index $\alpha$ quantifying tail heaviness. We propose a new semiparametric estimator for $\alpha$ that leverages the two-sum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Cornelis J. Potgieter , Jacques van Appel , Sudharshan Samaratunga

Here, a separation theorem about Independent Subspace Analysis (ISA), a generalization of Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is proven. According to the theorem, ISA estimation can be executed in two steps under certain conditions. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Zoltan Szabo , Barnabas Poczos , Andras Lorincz

Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) is a popular algorithm used to estimates the intractable marginal likelihood of deep generative models. Although AIS is guaranteed to provide unbiased estimate for any set of hyperparameters, the common…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-11 Shirin Goshtasbpour , Fernando Perez-Cruz

Most extreme events in real life can be faithfully modeled as random realizations from a Generalized Pareto distribution, which depends on two parameters: the scale and the shape. In many actual situations, one is mostly concerned with the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-30 Paul Rochet , Isabel Serra

We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

This paper introduces a new classification scheme - head/tail breaks - in order to find groupings or hierarchy for data with a heavy-tailed distribution. The heavy-tailed distributions are heavily right skewed, with a minority of large…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-10-22 Bin Jiang

Stable subordinators, and more general subordinators possessing power law probability tails, have been widely used in the context of subdiffusions, where particles get trapped or immobile in a number of time periods, called constant…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-11 Phillip Kerger , Kei Kobayashi

This paper introduces Tree-Pyramidal Adaptive Importance Sampling (TP-AIS), a novel iterated sampling method that outperforms state-of-the-art approaches like deterministic mixture population Monte Carlo (DM-PMC), mixture population Monte…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Javier Felip , Nilesh Ahuja , Omesh Tickoo

The additive model is a popular nonparametric regression method due to its ability to retain modeling flexibility while avoiding the curse of dimensionality. The backfitting algorithm is an intuitive and widely used numerical approach for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-28 Yi Zhang , Lin Wang , Xiaoke Zhang , HaiYing Wang
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