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Mid-study design modifications are becoming increasingly accepted in confirmatory clinical trials, so long as appropriate methods are applied such that error rates are controlled. It is therefore unfortunate that the important case of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-05-08 Dominic Magirr , Thomas Jaki , Franz Koenig , Martin Posch

The technique of data augmentation (DA) is often used in machine learning for regularization purposes to better generalize under i.i.d. settings. In this work, we present a unifying framework with topics in causal inference to make a case…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Uzair Akbar , Niki Kilbertus , Hao Shen , Krikamol Muandet , Bo Dai

When investigators seek to estimate causal effects, they often assume that selection into treatment is based only on observed covariates. Under this identification strategy, analysts must adjust for observed confounders. While basic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-09 Luke Keele , Dylan Small

The analysis of randomized controlled trials is often complicated by intercurrent events (IEs) -- events that occur after treatment initiation and affect either the interpretation or existence of outcome measurements. Examples include…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Sizhu Lu , Yanyao Yi , Yongming Qu , Huayu Karen Liu , Ting Ye , Peng Ding

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

Randomized clinical trials typically aim to estimate a marginal treatment effect. While covariate adjustment can improve precision, it may change the estimand in nonlinear models due to noncollapsibility, leading to conditional rather than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Leticia Wuethrich , Torsten Hothorn

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are widely used for estimating average treatment effects in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However, the capability of existing IV procedures, and most notably the two-stage residual inclusion…

In 2023, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration issued guidance for adjustment of covariates in randomized clinical trials, emphasizing its role in enhancing precision and power through prognostic baseline variables. Despite its potential,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Kelly Van Lancker , Iván Díaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Given the limitations of using the Cox hazard ratio to summarize the magnitude of the treatment effect, alternative measures that do not have these limitations are gaining attention. One of the recently proposed alternative methods uses the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Zihan Qian , Lu Tian , Miki Horiguchi , Hajime Uno

Test-time adaptation aims to improve model robustness under distribution shifts by adapting models with access to unlabeled target samples. A primary cause of performance degradation under such shifts is the model's reliance on features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Yingnan Liu , Rui Qiao , Mong Li Lee , Wynne Hsu

The growing availability of large health databases has expanded the use of observational studies for comparative effectiveness research. Unlike randomized trials, observational studies must adjust for systematic differences in patient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Haidong Lu , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

To be fully useful for public health practice, models for epidemic response must be able to do more than predict -- it is also important to incorporate the mechanisms underlying transmission dynamics to enable policymakers and practitioners…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-05-26 Jiale Tan , Marisa C. Eisenberg

A natural method for approximating out-of-sample predictive evaluation is leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) --- we alternately hold out each case from a full data set and then train a Bayesian model using Markov chain Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-28 Longhai Li , Shi Qiu , Bei Zhang , Cindy X. Feng

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

A bias correction to Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is derived for seemingly unrelated regressions models. The correction is of particular use when the sample size is not much larger than the number of fitted parameters. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-06-05 J. L. van Velsen

In this paper, we present a new way of matching in observational studies that overcomes three limitations of existing matching approaches. First, it directly balances covariates with multi-valued treatments without requiring the generalized…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-11 Magdalena Bennett , Juan Pablo Vielma , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Covariate adjustment is desired by both practitioners and regulators of randomized clinical trials because it improves precision for estimating treatment effects. However, covariate adjustment presents a particular challenge in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-20 Yunfan Li , Jessica L. Ross , Aaron M. Smith , David P. Miller

We consider the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in linear structural causal models (SCM) with latent confounders when we have access to a single proxy variable. Several methods (such as…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Yaroslav Kivva , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

A central focus in survival analysis is examining how covariates influence survival time. These covariate effects are often found to be either time-varying, heterogeneous - such as being specific to patients, treatments, or subgroups - or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-24 Niklas Hagemann , Thomas Kneib , Kathrin Möllenhoff

Mediation analysis breaks down the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome into an indirect effect, acting through a third group of variables called mediators, and a direct effect, operating through other mechanisms. Mediation analysis…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Judith Abécassis , Houssam Zenati , Sami Boumaïza , Julie Josse , Bertrand Thirion
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