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Although it is widely known that Gaussian processes can be conditioned on observations of the gradient, this functionality is of limited use due to the prohibitive computational cost of $\mathcal{O}(N^3 D^3)$ in data points $N$ and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Filip de Roos , Alexandra Gessner , Philipp Hennig

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

We outline a mathematical model for pricing hydropower generation. The model involves a Markov decision process that reflects the seasonal variation in historical time series of water inflows. The procedure is computationally efficient and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-08 Jonathan Pearce , Arash Khojaste , Golbon Zakeri , Geoffrey Pritchard

In this paper, we consider the motion planning problem in Gaussian belief space for minimum sensing navigation. Despite the extensive use of sampling-based algorithms and their rigorous analysis in the deterministic setting, there has been…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Vrushabh Zinage , Ali Reza Pedram , Takashi Tanaka

Numerical simulation is powerful to study nonlinear solid mechanics problems. However, mesh-based or particle-based numerical methods suffer from the common shortcoming of being time-consuming, particularly for complex problems with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Ming-Jian Li , Yanping Lian , Zhanshan Cheng , Lehui Li , Zhidong Wang , Ruxin Gao , Daining Fang

To make well-informed investment decisions, energy system stakeholders require reliable cost frameworks for demand response (DR) and storage technologies. While the levelised cost of storage (LCOS) permits comprehensive cost comparisons…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-08 Jacob Thrän , Tim C. Green , Robert Shorten

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

This paper proposes a distributed framework for demand response and user adaptation in smart grid networks. In particular, we borrow the concept of congestion pricing in Internet traffic control and show that pricing information is very…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2010-08-02 Zhong Fan

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a non-parametric Bayesian technique for interpolating or fitting data. The main barrier to further uptake of this powerful tool rests in the computational costs associated with the matrices which arise…

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

In this study, we introduce new estimation methods for the required rate of return of the stochastic dividend discount model (DDM) and the private company valuation model, which will appear below. To estimate the required rate of return, we…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2022-07-07 Battulga Gankhuu

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a multivariate stationary dicrete-time Gaussian random process based on a finite length observation. Using information-theoretic methods, we derive a lower…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-06 Gabor Hannak , Alexander Jung , Norbert Goertz

This tutorial aims to provide an intuitive introduction to Gaussian process regression (GPR). GPR models have been widely used in machine learning applications due to their representation flexibility and inherent capability to quantify…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Jie Wang

Under the framework of dynamic conditional score, we propose a parametric forecasting model for Value-at-Risk based on the normal inverse Gaussian distribution (Hereinafter NIG-DCS-VaR), which creatively incorporates intraday information…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-10-07 Shijia Song , Handong Li

By using small computing devices deployed at user premises, Autonomous Demand Response (ADR) adapts users electricity consumption to given time-dependent electricity tariffs. This allows end-users to save on their electricity bill and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-22 T. Mancini , F. Mari , I. Melatti , I. Salvo , E. Tronci , J. K. Gruber , B. Hayes , M. Prodanovic , L. Elmegaard

Many smart grid frameworks, such as demand response programs, require accurate information about consumers' parameters (e.g., flexibility) at the aggregator side to optimize grid operations. Existing works typically rely on perfect…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Hassan Mohamad , Chao Zhang , Samson Lasaulce , Olivier Beaude , Vineeth Satheeskumar Varma , Mounir Ghogho , Vincent Poor

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

Demand response for residential users is essential to the realization of modern smart grids. This paper proposes a multiobjective approach to designing a demand response program that considers the energy costs of residential users and the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-15 Wei-Yu Chiu , Jui-Ting Hsieh , Chia-Ming Chen

Operational decisions relying on predictive distributions of electricity prices can result in significantly higher profits compared to those based solely on point forecasts. However, the majority of models developed in both academic and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-08 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

Gaussian processes with derivative information are useful in many settings where derivative information is available, including numerous Bayesian optimization and regression tasks that arise in the natural sciences. Incorporating derivative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Misha Padidar , Xinran Zhu , Leo Huang , Jacob R. Gardner , David Bindel