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相关论文: Rethinking recidivism through a causal lens

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When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

Unmeasured confounding is a key challenge for causal inference. In this paper, we establish a framework for unmeasured confounding adjustment with negative control variables. A negative control outcome is associated with the confounder but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Wang Miao , Xu Shi , Yilin Li , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal machine learning (CML) has experienced increasing popularity in healthcare. Beyond the inherent capabilities of adding domain knowledge into learning systems, CML provides a complete toolset for investigating how a system would react…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-01 Pedro Sanchez , Jeremy P. Voisey , Tian Xia , Hannah I. Watson , Alison Q. ONeil , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

In social sciences and economics, causal inference traditionally focuses on assessing the impact of predefined treatments (or interventions) on predefined outcomes, such as the effect of education programs on earnings. Causal discovery, in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-12 Martin Huber

Estimating treatment effects over time holds significance in various domains, including precision medicine, epidemiology, economy, and marketing. This paper introduces a unique approach to counterfactual regression over time, emphasizing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Mouad El Bouchattaoui , Myriam Tami , Benoit Lepetit , Paul-Henry Cournède

This paper deals with the problem of evaluating the causal effect using observational data in the presence of an unobserved exposure/ outcome variable, when cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-18 Manabu Kuroki , Zhihong Cai

Causal inference in longitudinal biomedical data remains a central challenge, especially in psychiatry, where symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding frequently undermine classical estimators. Most existing methods for treatment effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-28 Eric V. Strobl

Many real-world decision-making tasks require learning causal relationships between a set of variables. Traditional causal discovery methods, however, require that all variables are observed, which is often not feasible in practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Raj Agrawal , Chandler Squires , Neha Prasad , Caroline Uhler

Understanding how racial information impacts human decision making in online systems is critical in today's world. Prior work revealed that race information of criminal defendants, when presented as a text field, had no significant impact…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2020-02-05 Keri Mallari , Kori Inkpen , Paul Johns , Sarah Tan , Divya Ramesh , Ece Kamar

Inferring causal relationships in observational time series data is an important task when interventions cannot be performed. Granger causality is a popular framework to infer potential causal mechanisms between different time series. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Regularization improves generalization of supervised models to out-of-sample data. Prior works have shown that prediction in the causal direction (effect from cause) results in lower testing error than the anti-causal direction. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Trent Kyono , Yao Zhang , Mihaela van der Schaar

There is increasing regulatory interest in whether machine learning algorithms deployed in consequential domains (e.g. in criminal justice) treat different demographic groups "fairly." However, there are several proposed notions of…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-19 Christopher Jung , Sampath Kannan , Changhwa Lee , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

In the causal learning setting, we wish to learn cause-and-effect relationships between variables such that we can correctly infer the effect of an intervention. While the difference between a cyclic structure and an acyclic structure may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-27 Katie Everett , Ian Fischer

We present a novel form of Fourier analysis, and associated signal processing concepts, for signals (or data) indexed by edge-weighted directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). This means that our Fourier basis yields an eigendecomposition of a…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-29 Bastian Seifert , Chris Wendler , Markus Püschel

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are recently shown to be vulnerable to backdoor attacks, where attackers embed hidden backdoors in the DNN model by injecting a few poisoned examples into the training dataset. While extensive efforts have been…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-03-14 Zaixi Zhang , Qi Liu , Zhicai Wang , Zepu Lu , Qingyong Hu

Standard diffusion models are flexible estimators of complex distributions, but they do not encode causal structures and therefore do not by themselves support causal analysis. We propose a causality-encoded diffusion framework that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

We study the problem of using causal models to improve the rate at which good interventions can be learned online in a stochastic environment. Our formalism combines multi-arm bandits and causal inference to model a novel type of bandit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-13 Finnian Lattimore , Tor Lattimore , Mark D. Reid

I examine the COMPAS recidivism risk score and criminal history data collected by ProPublica in 2016 that fueled intense debate and research in the nascent field of 'algorithmic fairness'. ProPublica's COMPAS data is used in an increasing…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-07-10 Matias Barenstein

Discovering the causal relationship via recovering the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure from the observed data is a well-known challenging combinatorial problem. When there are latent variables, the problem becomes even more…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-02 Yunfeng Cai , Xu Li , Minging Sun , Ping Li

Since the advent of autonomous driving technology, it has experienced remarkable progress over the last decade. However, most existing research still struggles to address the challenges posed by environments where multiple vehicles have to…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Jing Wang , Yan Jin , Fei Ding , Chongfeng Wei