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相关论文: Rethinking recidivism through a causal lens

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We identify the distributional and quantile marginal treatment effect functions when the outcome is right-censored. Our method requires a conditionally exogenous instrument and random censoring. We propose asymptotically consistent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-17 Santiago Acerenza , Vitor Possebom , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Fairness for machine learning predictions is widely required in practice for legal, ethical, and societal reasons. Existing work typically focuses on settings without unobserved confounding, even though unobserved confounding can lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Maresa Schröder , Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

Recidivism risk assessment instruments are presented as an 'evidence-based' strategy for criminal justice reform - a way of increasing consistency in sentencing, replacing cash bail, and reducing mass incarceration. In practice, however,…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Dasha Pruss

Classical machine learning techniques often struggle with overfitting and unreliable predictions when exposed to novel conditions. Introducing causality into the modelling process offers a promising way to mitigate these challenges by…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 David Zapata Gonzalez , Marcel Meyer , Oliver Mueller

The difference-in-differences (DID) design is widely used in observational studies to estimate the causal effect of a treatment when repeated observations over time are available. Yet, almost all existing methods assume linearity in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Soichiro Yamauchi

Existing causal inference (CI) models are often restricted to data with low-dimensional confounders and singleton actions. We propose an autoregressive (AR) CI framework capable of handling complex confounders and sequential actions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Daniel Jiwoong Im , Kevin Zhang , Nakul Verma , Kyunghyun Cho

While recent debiasing methods for Scene Graph Generation (SGG) have shown impressive performance, these efforts often attribute model bias solely to the long-tail distribution of relationships, overlooking the more profound causes stemming…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Li Liu , Shuzhou Sun , Shuaifeng Zhi , Fan Shi , Zhen Liu , Janne Heikkilä , Yongxiang Liu

In the causal adjustment setting, variable selection techniques based on either the outcome or treatment allocation model can result in the omission of confounders or the inclusion of spurious variables in the propensity score. We propose a…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David A. Stephens

We study how to extend the use of the diffusion model to answer the causal question from the observational data under the existence of unmeasured confounders. In Pearl's framework of using a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) to capture the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-15 Tatsuhiro Shimizu

A data science task can be deemed as making sense of the data or testing a hypothesis about it. The conclusions inferred from data can greatly guide us to make informative decisions. Big data has enabled us to carry out countless prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Wenhao Zhang , Ramin Ramezani , Arash Naeim

Assuming a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that represents prior knowledge of causal relationships between variables is a common starting point for cause-effect estimation. Existing literature typically invokes hypothetical domain expert…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Kirtan Padh , Zhufeng Li , Cecilia Casolo , Niki Kilbertus

We focus on the extension of bivariate causal learning methods into multivariate problem settings in a systematic manner via a novel framework. It is purposive to augment the scale to which bivariate causal discovery approaches can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-29 Hongyi Chen , Maurits Kaptein

Causal effects are commonly defined as comparisons of the potential outcomes under treatment and control, but this definition is threatened by the possibility that the treatment or control condition is not well-defined, existing instead in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-26 Raiden B. Hasegawa , Sameer K. Deshpande , Dylan S. Small , Paul R. Rosenbaum

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

Understanding the causal relationships between data variables can provide crucial insights into the construction of tabular datasets. Most existing causality learning methods typically focus on applying a single identifiable causal model,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Hristo Petkov , Calum MacLellan , Feng Dong

We are not only observers but also actors of reality. Our capability to intervene and alter the course of some events in the space and time surrounding us is an essential component of how we build our model of the world. In this doctoral…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Gilles Blondel

Negative controls are increasingly used to evaluate the presence of potential unmeasured confounding in observational studies. Beyond the use of negative controls to detect the presence of residual confounding, proximal causal inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Jiewen Liu , Chan Park , Kendrick Li , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Structural learning, which aims to learn directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from observational data, is foundational to causal reasoning and scientific discovery. Recent advancements formulate structural learning into a continuous optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Song Wei , Yao Xie

This work aims to learn the directed acyclic graph (DAG) that captures the instantaneous dependencies underlying a multivariate time series. The observed data follow a linear structural vector autoregressive model (SVARM) with both…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-09 Samuel Rey , Gonzalo Mateos

The deployment of pre-trained perception models in novel environments often leads to performance degradation due to distributional shifts. Although recent artificial intelligence approaches for metacognition use logical rules to…