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Owing to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and other recent global epidemics, epidemic simulation frameworks are gaining rapid significance. In this work, we present a workflow that will allow researchers to simulate the spread of an infectious…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Reet Barik , Marco Minutoli , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Ananth Kalyanaraman

This paper develops an agent-level simulation model, termed ALPS, for simulating the spread of an infectious disease in a confined community. The mechanism of transmission is agent-to-agent contact, using parameters reported for Corona…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-28 Anuj Srivastava

Decisions on public health interventions to control infectious disease are often informed by computational models. Interpreting the predicted outcomes of a public health decision requires not only high-quality modelling, but also an ethical…

This study extends classical models of spreading epidemics to describe the phenomenon of contagious public outrage, which eventually leads to the spread of violence following a disclosure of some unpopular political decisions and/or…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Sarwat Nizamani , Nasrullah Memon , Serge Galam

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

Online social networks have transformed the ways in which political mobilization messages are disseminated, raising new questions about how peer influence operates at scale. Building on the landmark 61-million-person Facebook experiment…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

The COVID-19 pandemic due to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has directly impacted the public health and economy worldwide. To overcome this problem, countries have adopted different policies and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling…

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

In this paper, I study epidemic diffusion in a generalized spatial SEIRD model, where individuals are initially connected in a social or geographical network. As the virus spreads in the network, the structure of interactions between people…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-23 Giorgio Fagiolo

Descriptive and inferential social network analysis has become common in public administration studies of network governance and management. A large literature has developed in two broad categories: antecedents of network structure, and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Travis A. Whetsell , Michael D. Siciliano

Deterministic compartmental models have been used extensively in modeling epidemic propagation. These models are required to fit available data and numerical procedures are often implemented to this end. But not every model architecture is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-23 Gabriel Turinici

Modeling infection spread during pandemics is not new, with models using past data to tune simulation parameters for predictions. These help understand the healthcare burden posed by a pandemic and respond accordingly. However, the problem…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-21 Himanshu Kharkwal , Dakota Olson , Jiali Huang , Abhiraj Mohan , Ankur Mani , Jaideep Srivastava

The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

We propose a theoretical framework for the study of epidemics in structured metapopulations, with heterogeneous agents, subjected to recurrent mobility patterns. We propose to represent the heterogeneity in the composition of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-08-15 David Soriano-Paños , Laura Lotero , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Alex Arenas

Diffusion of information and viral content, social contagion and influence are still topics of broad evaluation. We have studied the information epidemic in a social networking platform in order compare different campaign setups. The goal…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-02-14 Andrzej Jarynowski , Jaroslaw Jankowski , Anita Zbieg

The modeling of turbulent flows is critical to scientific and engineering problems ranging from aircraft design to weather forecasting and climate prediction. Over the last sixty years numerous turbulence models have been proposed, largely…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-10-26 Guido Novati , Hugues Lascombes de Laroussilhe , Petros Koumoutsakos

The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

Purpose: This paper introduces the concept of "Agentic Publication," a novel LLM-driven framework designed to complement traditional scientific publishing by transforming papers into interactive knowledge systems that address challenges…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Roberto Pugliese , George Kourousias , Francesco Venier , Grazia Garlatti Costa

We present EPITIME (EPidemic Integral models TIMe profile Explorer), a computational framework for the simulation of two classes of integral epidemic models: an age of infection model and an information dependent behavioural model. The…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-05-04 Bruno Buonomo , Eleonora Messina , Claudia Panico , Mario Pezzella , Gaetano Zanghirati