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Once an epidemic outbreak has been effectively contained through non-pharmaceutical interventions, a safe protocol is required for the subsequent release of social distancing restrictions to prevent a disastrous resurgence of the infection.…

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

We present and analyze an actively controlled Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (actSIS) model of interconnected populations to study how risk aversion strategies, such as social distancing, affect network epidemics. A population using a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-18 Anastasia Bizyaeva , Marcela Ordorica Arango , Yunxiu Zhou , Simon Levin , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

The spread of infectious disease is strongly influenced by social dynamics. In addition to infection risk, individuals vaccination decisions depend on prevailing social behavior: high infection levels and widespread vaccination can increase…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-17 Xinxuan Wang , Youngmin Park , Bryce Morsky

It has recently become established that the spread of infectious diseases between humans is affected not only by the pathogen itself but also by changes in behavior as the population becomes aware of the epidemic; for example, social…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-10-09 Yilei Bu , Steve Gregory , Harriet L. Mills

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Changs in individual behavior often entangles with the dynamic interaction of individuals, which complicates the epidemic process and brings great challenges for the understanding and control of the epidemic. In this work, we consider three…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-10-27 Bing Wang , Zeyang Xie , Yuexing Han

The last decade saw the advent of increasingly realistic epidemic models that leverage on the availability of highly detailed census and human mobility data. Data-driven models aim at a granularity down to the level of households or single…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2011-08-10 Nicola Perra , Duygu Balcan , Bruno Gonçalves , Alessandro Vespignani

In the face of serious infectious diseases, governments endeavour to implement containment measures such as public vaccination at a macroscopic level. Meanwhile, individuals tend to protect themselves by avoiding contacts with infections at…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-10-20 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Michael Small , Xinchu Fu , Zhen Jin

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard

The contact structure of the population shapes the progression of epidemics. Nonetheless, the joint evolution of individual behavioral adaptations and disease dynamics on networks remains poorly understood. We use a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-08-27 Baltazar Espinoza , Jimmy Calvo-Monge , Fabio Sanchez , Simon A. Levin , Madhav Marathe

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

The mobility patterns of individuals in China during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibit reversible changes -- in many regions, the mobility first decreased significantly and later restored. Based on this observation, here…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-25 Xincheng Shu , Zhongyuan Ruan

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

The spreading of virus infection is here simulated over artificial human networks. The real-space urban life of people is modeled as a modified scale-free network with constraints. A scale-free network has been adopted in several studies…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-03 Yukio Ohsawa , Masaharu Tsubokura

The behaviour of individuals is a main actor in the control of the spread of a communicable disease and, in turn, the spread of an infectious disease can trigger behavioural changes in a population. Here, we study the emergence of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-10-26 Mozhgan Khanjanianpak , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

We consider an epidemic process on adaptive activity-driven temporal networks, with adaptive behaviour modelled as a change in activity and attractiveness due to infection. By using a mean-field approach, we derive an analytical estimate of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-02 Marco Mancastroppa , Raffaella Burioni , Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vezzani

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

Studies on how to model the interplay between diseases and behavioral responses (so-called coupled disease-behavior interaction) have attracted increasing attention. Owing to the lack of obvious clinical evidence of diseases, or the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-08-24 Hai-Feng Zhang , Jia-Rong Xie , Han-Shuang Chen , Can Liu , Michael Small
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