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Kernel-weighted test statistics have been widely used in a variety of settings including non-stationary regression, inference on propensity score and panel data models. We develop the limit theory for a kernel-based specification test of a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-30 Sid Kankanala , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

We provide uniform convergence rates for kernel averages on $[0,1]$ under equally-spaced fixed design points of the form $x_{t,T}=t/T,\ t\in\{1,\dotsc, T\},\ T\in\mathbb{N}$. The rates of weak and strong uniform consistency are derived…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-06 Danilo Hiroshi Matsuoka , Hudson da Silva Torrent

This paper deals with several issues related to the pointwise consistency of the kriging predictor when the mean and the covariance functions are known. These questions are of general importance in the context of computer experiments. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-12-09 Emmanuel Vazquez , Julien Bect

A fundamental task in statistical learning is quantifying the joint dependence or association between two continuous random variables. We introduce a novel, fully non-parametric measure that assesses the degree of association between…

This paper reviews the functional aspects of statistical learning theory. The main point under consideration is the nature of the hypothesis set when no prior information is available but data. Within this framework we first discuss about…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-25 Stephane Canu , Xavier Mary , Alain Rakotomamonjy

Reinforcement Learning (RL) problems are being considered under increasingly more complex structures. While tabular and linear models have been thoroughly explored, the analytical study of RL under nonlinear function approximation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Aya Kayal , Sattar Vakili , Laura Toni , Alberto Bernacchia

We are interested in learning causal relationships between pairs of random variables, purely from observational data. To effectively address this task, the state-of-the-art relies on strong assumptions regarding the mechanisms mapping…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-09-16 David Lopez-Paz , Krikamol Muandet , Benjamin Recht

Regression on manifolds, and, more broadly, statistics on manifolds, has garnered significant importance in recent years due to the vast number of applications for non Euclidean data. Circular data is a classic example, but so is data in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Fabrice Gamboa , Leonardo Moreno

Distributional robustness is a central goal of prediction algorithms due to the prevalent distribution shifts in real-world data. The prediction model aims to minimize the worst-case risk among a class of distributions, a.k.a., an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Marin Šola , Peter Bühlmann , Xinwei Shen

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

Independence testing plays a central role in statistical and causal inference from observational data. Standard independence tests assume that the data samples are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) but that assumption is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-04 Ragib Ahsan , Zahra Fatemi , David Arbour , Elena Zheleva

We introduce a fine-grained framework for uncertainty quantification of predictive models under distributional shifts. This framework distinguishes the shift in covariate distributions from that in the conditional relationship between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Jiahao Ai , Zhimei Ren

This paper develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

We propose a general nonparametric Bayesian framework for binary regression, which is built from modeling for the joint response-covariate distribution. The observed binary responses are assumed to arise from underlying continuous random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-06 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

Accurately predicting the relevance of items to users is crucial to the success of many social platforms. Conventional approaches train models on logged historical data; but recommendation systems, media services, and online marketplaces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Amir Feder , Guy Horowitz , Yoav Wald , Roi Reichart , Nir Rosenfeld

Many previous causal inference studies require no interference, that is, the potential outcomes of a unit do not depend on the treatments of other units. However, this no-interference assumption becomes unreasonable when a unit interacts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-24 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Qian Lin , Dawei Yang , Jun S. Liu

In this paper we introduce a kernel-based measure for detecting differences between two conditional distributions. Using the `kernel trick' and nearest-neighbor graphs, we propose a consistent estimate of this measure which can be computed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-30 Anirban Chatterjee , Ziang Niu , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

In this paper, we mainly study the random sampling stability for signals in a weighted reproducing kernel subspace of $L_\nu^p(\mathbb{R}^d)$ without the additional requirement that the kernel function has symmetry. The sampling set is…

泛函分析 · 数学 2022-03-30 Yingchun Jiang , Yajing Zhang , Wan Li

We provide a distribution-free test that can be used to determine whether any two joint distributions $p$ and $q$ are statistically different by inspection of a large enough set of samples. Following recent efforts from Long et al. [1], we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-07-26 Francesco Solera , Andrea Palazzi