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Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

Many methods for machine learning rely on approximate inference from intractable probability distributions. Variational inference approximates such distributions by tractable models that can be subsequently used for approximate inference.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Oleg Arenz , Mingjun Zhong , Gerhard Neumann

The clustering of bounded data presents unique challenges in statistical analysis due to the constraints imposed on the data values. This paper introduces a novel method for model-based clustering specifically designed for bounded data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca

The Gaussian graphical model (GGM) incorporates an undirected graph to represent the conditional dependence between variables, with the precision matrix encoding partial correlation between pair of variables given the others. To achieve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Yueqi Qian , Xianghong Hu , Can Yang

We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the log likelihood of Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with equal covariance matrices in the low signal-to-noise regime. The expansion reveals an intimate connection between two types of algorithms for…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-30 Anya Katsevich , Afonso Bandeira

In this paper, we consider the task of clustering a set of individual time series while modeling each cluster, that is, model-based time series clustering. The task requires a parametric model with sufficient flexibility to describe the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Ryohei Umatani , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto , Shutaro Kunimasa

Missing observations are pervasive throughout empirical research, especially in the social sciences. Despite multiple approaches to dealing adequately with missing data, many scholars still fail to address this vital issue. In this paper,…

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

We propose a partially linear additive Gaussian graphical model (PLA-GGM) for the estimation of associations between random variables distorted by observed confounders. Model parameters are estimated using an $L_1$-regularized maximal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-11 Sinong Geng , Minhao Yan , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Modern physics simulation often involves multiple functions of interests, and traditional numerical approaches are known to be complex and computationally costly. While machine learning-based surrogate models can offer significant cost…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Da Long , Zhitong Xu , Guang Yang , Akil Narayan , Shandian Zhe

Fuzzy clustering algorithms can be roughly categorized into two main groups: Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) based methods and mixture model based methods. However, for almost all existing FCM based methods, how to automatically selecting proper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Qiang Chen , Weizhong Yu , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Probabilistic graphical modeling (PGM) provides a framework for formulating an interpretable generative process of data and expressing uncertainty about unknowns, but it lacks flexibility. Deep learning (DL) is an alternative framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-27 Adji B. Dieng

The Generalized Additive Model (GAM) is a powerful tool and has been well studied. This model class helps to identify additive regression structure. Via available test procedures one may identify the regression structure even sharper if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-11 Rong Liu , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-27 James Requeima , Will Tebbutt , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are introduced for generating quasi-random samples from multivariate models with any underlying copula in order to compute estimates under variance reduction. So far, quasi-random sampling for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-06 Marius Hofert , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Gaussian processes (GP) for machine learning have been studied systematically over the past two decades and they are by now widely used in a number of diverse applications. However, GP kernel design and the associated hyper-parameter…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-28 Feng Yin , Lishuo Pan , Xinwei He , Tianshi Chen , Sergios Theodoridis , Zhi-Quan , Luo

Agent-based models (ABMs) simulate complex systems by capturing the bottom-up interactions of individual agents comprising the system. Many complex systems of interest, such as epidemics or financial markets, involve thousands or even…

Non-random sample selection is a commonplace amongst many empirical studies and it appears when an output variable of interest is available only for a restricted non-random sub-sample of data. We introduce an extension of the generalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-18 M. Wojtyś , G. Marra

Maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) is a semiparametric estimation method often used to obtain the dependence parameters in copula models from data. It has been shown that despite being consistent, and in some cases efficient, MPL estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Alexandra Dias