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Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

The quality of service in healthcare is constantly challenged by outlier events such as pandemics (i.e. Covid-19) and natural disasters (such as hurricanes and earthquakes). In most cases, such events lead to critical uncertainties in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-16 Chih-Hao Huang , Feras A. Batarseh , Adel Boueiz , Ajay Kulkarni , Po-Hsuan Su , Jahan Aman

In this research paper we modify a classical SIR model to better adapt to the dynamics of COVID-19, that is we propose the heterogeneous SQAIRD model where COVID-19 spreads over a population of economic agents, namely: the elderly, adults…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-19 Elena Gubar , Laura Policardo , Edgar J. Sanchez Carrera , Vladislav Taynitskiy

Clinical decision support tools rooted in machine learning and optimization can provide significant value to healthcare providers, including through better management of intensive care units. In particular, it is important that the patient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-20 Fernando Lejarza , Jacob Calvert , Misty M Attwood , Daniel Evans , Qingqing Mao

A probabilistic approach to the epidemic evolution on realistic social-contact networks allows for characteristic differences among subjects, including the individual number and structure of social contacts, and the heterogeneity of the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-02-11 Jan B. Broekaert , Davide La Torre , Faizal Hafiz

Recent years have seen increasing efforts to forecast infectious disease burdens, with a primary goal being to help public health workers make informed policy decisions. However, there has only been limited discussion of how predominant…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-06 Aaron Gerding , Nicholas G. Reich , Benjamin Rogers , Evan L. Ray

Testing is a crucial control mechanism for an epidemic outbreak because it enables the health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases, thereby limiting the disease transmission to susceptible people, when no effective treatment…

In this paper, we consider an adaptive optimal control problem for an SIR/V epidemic model with human behavioral effects.We develop a model where effective management of infectious diseases are monitored by the means of non pharmaceutical…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-09 Nuruzzaman Rahat , Abid Hossain , Muntasir Alam

Inferring how an epidemic will progress and what actions to take when presented with limited information is of critical importance for epidemiologists and health professionals. In real world settings, epidemiology data can be scarce or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-02 Georgios Efstathiadis

Epidemic models are useful tools in the fight against infectious diseases, as they allow policy makers to test and compare various strategies to limit disease transmission while mitigating collateral damage on the economy. Epidemic models…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-08-18 Joseph D. Peterson , Ronojoy Adhikari

Liver infection is a common disease, which poses a great threat to human health, but there is still able to identify an optimal technique that can be used on large-level screening. This paper deals with ML algorithms using different data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 P. Deivendran , S. Selvakanmani , S. Jegadeesan , V. Vinoth Kumar

We propose a general Bayesian approach to modeling epidemics such as COVID-19. The approach grew out of specific analyses conducted during the pandemic, in particular an analysis concerning the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Samir Bhatt , Neil Ferguson , Seth Flaxman , Axel Gandy , Swapnil Mishra , James A. Scott

AI tools increasingly guide targeted interventions in healthcare, education, and recruiting. Algorithms score individuals, trigger outreach to those above a threshold (e.g., high-risk or high-value), and encourage them to request service;…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Carri W. Chan , Yi Han , Hannah Li , Benjamin L. Ranard

There is significant interest in deploying machine learning algorithms for diagnostic radiology, as modern learning techniques have made it possible to detect abnormalities in medical images within minutes. While machine-assisted diagnoses…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Woo-Hyung Cho , Shane Henderson , David Shmoys

In this paper, we propose a realistic mathematical model taking into account the mutual interference among the interacting populations. This model attempts to describe the control (vaccination) function as a function of the number of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 V. Sree Hari Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

The beneficial effects of treatments vary across individuals in most studies. Treatment heterogeneity motivates practitioners to search for the optimal policy based on personal characteristics. A long-standing common practice in policy…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-06 Xuqiao Li , Ying Yan

Efficiently allocating treatments with a budget constraint constitutes an important challenge across various domains. In marketing, for example, the use of promotions to target potential customers and boost conversions is limited by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Toon Vanderschueren , Wouter Verbeke , Felipe Moraes , Hugo Manuel Proença

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), including mask-wearing, physical distancing, and hygiene measures, provide the primary means of reducing transmission in the early stages of an epidemic. Individuals adopt one of two…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-22 Yuan Liu , Michael Sieber , Bin Wu , Arne Traulsen

We study the problem of how to construct a set of policies that can be composed together to solve a collection of reinforcement learning tasks. Each task is a different reward function defined as a linear combination of known features. We…