中文
相关论文

相关论文: A Deep Learning Forecaster with Exogenous Variable…

200 篇论文

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and flexible demand technologies, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, introduces significant uncertainty in power systems, resulting in greater imbalance; defined as the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-08 Timothée Hornek , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Ivan Pavić

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

In a natural market environment, the price prediction model needs to be updated in real time according to the data obtained by the system to ensure the accuracy of the prediction. In order to improve the user experience of the system, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-07-14 Zhu Bangyuan

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

This article develops a deep reinforcement learning (Deep-RL) framework for dynamic pricing on managed lanes with multiple access locations and heterogeneity in travelers' value of time, origin, and destination. This framework relaxes…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-28 Venktesh Pandey , Evana Wang , Stephen D. Boyles

Electricity price signals in modern power systems exhibit complex dependence structures that render forecasting inherently challenging. Our analysis of real-world pricing signals from the California Independent System Operator (CAISO)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Keyi Wang , Jiaxiang Ji , Mahan Mansouri , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

There are several approaches to modeling and forecasting time series as applied to prices of commodities and financial assets. One of the approaches is to model the price as a non-stationary time series process with heteroscedastic…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-01 Andrei Renatovich Batyrov

We address the need for forecasting methodologies that handle large uncertainties in electricity prices for continuous intraday markets by incorporating parameter uncertainty and using a broad set of covariables. This study presents the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Daniel Nickelsen , Gernot Müller

Deep-learning techniques have been successfully used for time-series forecasting and have often shown superior performance on many standard benchmark datasets as compared to traditional techniques. Here we present a comprehensive and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-08 Vedant Shah , Gautam Shroff

Growing concerns over climate change call for improved techniques for estimating and quantifying the greenhouse gas emissions associated with electricity generation and transmission. Among the emission metrics designated for power grids,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-20 Xuan He , Danny H. K. Tsang , Yize Chen

Short term electricity price forecast is essential in competitive power markets, yet electricity price series exhibit high volatility, irregularity, and non-stationarity. This phenomenon is pronounced in the South Australian region of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Wei Lu , Jay Wang , Dingli Duan , Ding Mao , Caiyi Song , John Huang

The present work addresses the challenge of training neural networks for Dynamic Initial Margin (DIM) computation in counterparty credit risk, a task traditionally burdened by the high costs associated with generating training datasets…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-24 Joel P. Villarino , Álvaro Leitao

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is vital for short-term electricity markets, yet the multivariate nature of day-ahead prices - spanning 24 consecutive hours - remains underexplored. At the same time, real-time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Distribution locational marginal prices (DLMPs) facilitate the efficient operation of low-voltage electric power distribution systems. We propose an approach to internalize the stochasticity of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs)…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-04-28 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

The short-term forecasting of real-time locational marginal price (LMP) and network congestion is considered from a system operator perspective. A new probabilistic forecasting technique is proposed based on a multiparametric programming…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-06-28 Yuting Ji , Robert J. Thomas , Lang Tong

An important issue in today's electricity markets is the management of flexibilities offered by new practices, such as smart home appliances or electric vehicles. By inducing changes in the behavior of residential electric utilities, demand…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-08 Olivier Bilenne , Paulin Jacquot , Nadia Oudjane , Mathias Staudigl , Cheng Wan , Barbara Franci

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal