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We address the problem of uncertainty propagation in the discrete Fourier transform by modeling the fast Fourier transform as a factor graph. Building on this representation, we propose an efficient framework for approximate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Luca Schmid , Charlotte Muth , Laurent Schmalen

As a generalization of the classical linear factor model, generalized latent factor models are useful for analyzing multivariate data of different types, including binary choices and counts. This paper proposes an information criterion to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-11 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Epistemic uncertainty quantification is a crucial part of drawing credible conclusions from predictive models, whether concerned about the prediction at a given point or any downstream evaluation that uses the model as input. When the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Nathan Kallus , James McInerney

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) encompass large class of statistical models, with a vast range of applications areas. GLMM extends the linear mixed models allowing for different types of response variable. Three most common data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Paulo Justiniano Ribeiro , Silvia emiko Shimakura

Regression models with both high-dimensional responses and covariates have attracted growing attention. Standard multivariate regression models become inadequate when the response variables depend not only on observed covariates but also on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Yunxiao Chen , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Statistical inferences for high-dimensional regression models have been extensively studied for their wide applications ranging from genomics, neuroscience, to economics. However, in practice, there are often potential unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-12 Jing Ouyang , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Reliable uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in the analysis of modern biomedical data, where complex sources of variability often violate standard modeling assumptions. In generalized linear models (GLMs), confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Andrea Panarotto , Riccardo De Santis , Livio Finos

Standard deep learning methods, such as Ensemble Models, Bayesian Neural Networks and Quantile Regression Models provide estimates to prediction uncertainties for data-driven deep learning models. However, they can be limited in their…

This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-11 Ruoxuan Xiong , Markus Pelger

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

This paper studies the problem of distributed classification with a network of heterogeneous agents. The agents seek to jointly identify the underlying target class that best describes a sequence of observations. The problem is first…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-11-24 James Z. Hare , Cesar A. Uribe , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

Statistical learning algorithms provide a generally-applicable framework to sidestep time-consuming experiments, or accurate physics-based modeling, but they introduce a further source of error on top of the intrinsic limitations of the…

化学物理 · 物理学 2024-05-17 Matthias Kellner , Michele Ceriotti

Proper quantification and propagation of uncertainties in computational simulations are of critical importance. This issue is especially challenging for CFD applications. A particular obstacle for uncertainty quantifications in CFD problems…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-04-10 Jian-xun Wang , Christopher J. Roy , Heng Xiao

Posterior distributions on parameters computed from experimental data using Bayesian techniques are only as accurate as the models used to construct them. In many applications these models are incomplete, which both reduces the prospects of…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-06-23 Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

While generalized linear mixed models are a fundamental tool in applied statistics, many specifications, such as those involving categorical factors with many levels or interaction terms, can be computationally challenging to estimate due…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-03 Max Goplerud , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Giacomo Zanella
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