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相关论文: Inference in generalized bilinear models

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Statistical inference in high dimensional settings has recently attracted enormous attention within the literature. However, most published work focuses on the parametric linear regression problem. This paper considers an important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 Qi Gao , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yao Li

We propose a simple approach that provides accurate uncertainty quantification for Bayesian inference in misspecified or approximate models, and for generalized (Gibbs) posteriors. While existing solutions in this context are based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

We propose a distributed method for simultaneous inference for datasets with sample size much larger than the number of covariates, i.e., N >> p, in the generalized linear models framework. When such datasets are too big to be analyzed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-23 Lu Tang , Ling Zhou , Peter X. -K. Song

This paper investigates the iterates $\hbb^1,\dots,\hbb^T$ obtained from iterative algorithms in high-dimensional linear regression problems, in the regime where the feature dimension $p$ is comparable with the sample size $n$, i.e., $p…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Pierre C. Bellec , Kai Tan

Generalized latent factor analysis not only provides a useful latent embedding approach in statistics and machine learning, but also serves as a widely used tool across various scientific fields, such as psychometrics, econometrics, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-11 Chengyu Cui , Gongjun Xu

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

In Bayesian inference, an unknown measurement uncertainty is often quantified in terms of a Gamma distributed precision parameter, which is impractical when prior information on the standard deviation of the measurement uncertainty shall be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Manuel M. Eichenlaub

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Predictive uncertainty estimation remains a challenging problem precluding the use of deep neural networks as subsystems within safety-critical applications. Aleatoric uncertainty is a component of predictive uncertainty that cannot be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Angel Daruna , Yunye Gong , Abhinav Rajvanshi , Han-Pang Chiu , Yi Yao

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Decision makers may suffer from uncertainty induced by limited data. This may be mitigated by accounting for epistemic uncertainty, which is however challenging to estimate efficiently for large neural networks. To this extent we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Simon Schmitt , John Shawe-Taylor , Hado van Hasselt

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Latent factor models that integrate data from multiple sources/studies or modalities have garnered considerable attention across various disciplines. However, existing methods predominantly focus either on multi-study integration or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being used in metrology applications. However, for ML models to be credible in a metrology context they should be accompanied by principled uncertainty quantification. This paper addresses the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-09 Andrew Thompson

Uncertainty in large language model (LLM)-based systems is often studied at the level of a single model output, yet deployed LLM applications are compound systems in which uncertainty is transformed and reused across model internals,…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Boming Xia , Liming Zhu , Erdun Gao , Qinghua Lu , Minhui Xue , Dino Sejdinovic