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Continuous Time Echo State Networks (CTESNs) are a promising yet under-explored surrogate modeling technique for dynamical systems, particularly those governed by stiff Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). A key determinant of the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Saakaar Bhatnagar

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Long-lead forecasting for spatio-temporal systems can often entail complex nonlinear dynamics that are difficult to specify it a priori. Current statistical methodologies for modeling these processes are often highly parameterized and thus,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-05 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

An echo state network (ESN) is a type of reservoir computer that uses a recurrent neural network with a sparsely connected hidden layer. Compared with other recurrent neural networks, one great advantage of ESN is the simplicity of its…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-17 Clement Dinh , Yunhao Fan , Gia-Wei Chern

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are recurrent neural networks usually employed for modeling nonlinear dynamic systems with relatively ease of training. By incorporating physical laws into the training of ESNs, Physics-Informed ESNs (PI-ESNs)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Eric Mochiutti , Eric Aislan Antonelo , Eduardo Camponogara

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

Binary spatio-temporal data are common in many application areas. Such data can be considered from many perspectives, including via deterministic or stochastic cellular automata, where local rules govern the transition probabilities that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-09 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

Systems with time-delayed chaotic dynamics are common in nature, from control theory to aeronautical propulsion. The overarching objective of this paper is to compute the stability properties of a chaotic dynamical system, which is…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2023-03-07 Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

State estimation incorporates the feedback in optimization based advanced process control systems and is very important for the performance of model predictive control. We describe the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter,…

We present a data-driven model to reconstruct nonlinear dynamics from a very sparse times series data, which relies on the strength of the echo state network (ESN) in learning nonlinear representation of data. With an assumption of the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-07-24 Kyongmin Yeo

This paper considers the problem of data-driven prediction of partially observed systems using a recurrent neural network. While neural network based dynamic predictors perform well with full-state training data, prediction with partial…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-07 Debdipta Goswami

Developing suitable approximate models for analyzing and simulating complex nonlinear systems is practically important. This paper aims at exploring the skill of a rich class of nonlinear stochastic models, known as the conditional Gaussian…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-06-01 Nan Chen , Yingda Li , Honghu Liu

Study of dynamical systems using partial state observation is an important problem due to its applicability to many real-world systems. We address the problem by studying an echo state network (ESN) framework with partial state input with…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-06 Ajit Mahata , Reetish Padhi , Amit Apte

Prediction based on Irregularly Sampled Time Series (ISTS) is of wide concern in the real-world applications. For more accurate prediction, the methods had better grasp more data characteristics. Different from ordinary time series, ISTS is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-04 Chenxi Sun , Shenda Hong , Moxian Song , Yanxiu Zhou , Yongyue Sun , Derun Cai , Hongyan Li

Neuro-inspired recurrent neural network algorithms, such as echo state networks, are computationally lightweight and thereby map well onto untethered devices. The baseline echo state network algorithms are shown to be efficient in solving…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Zachariah Carmichael , Humza Syed , Stuart Burtner , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

Among the various architectures of Recurrent Neural Networks, Echo State Networks (ESNs) emerged due to their simplified and inexpensive training procedure. These networks are known to be sensitive to the setting of hyper-parameters, which…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-09-23 Pietro Verzelli , Cesare Alippi , Lorenzo Livi

Reservoir computing, using nonlinear dynamical systems, offers a cost-effective alternative to neural networks for complex tasks involving processing of sequential data, time series modeling, and system identification. Echo state networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Peter J. Ehlers , Hendra I. Nurdin , Daniel Soh

Continuous time recurrent neural networks (CTRNN) are systems of coupled ordinary differential equations that are simple enough to be insightful for describing learning and computation, from both biological and machine learning viewpoints.…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-06-18 Peter Ashwin , Claire M Postlethwaite

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Echo state networks are powerful recurrent neural networks. However, they are often unstable and shaky, making the process of finding an good ESN for a specific dataset quite hard. Obtaining a superb accuracy by using the Echo State Network…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-22 Qiuyi Wu , Ernest Fokoue , Dhireesha Kudithipudi
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