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We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change-point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-21 Axel Bücher , Jean-David Fermanian , Ivan Kojadinovic

A vector-valued model-based cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure is proposed for identifying faulty/falsified sensor measurements. First, given the system dynamics, we derive tools for tuning the CUSUM procedure in the fault/attack free case to…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-10-13 Carlos Murguia , Justin Ruths

The research described herewith investigates detecting change points of means and of variances in a sequence of observations. The number of change points can be divergent at certain rate as the sample size goes to infinity. We define a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-04 Wenbiao Zhao , Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high-dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Lorenzo Trapani

For sequentially observed functional data exhibiting multiple change points in the mean function, we establish consistency results for the estimated number and locations of the change points based on the norm of the functional CUSUM process…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-03 Gregory Rice , Chi Zhang

In this paper we study the validity and efficiency of a conformal version of the CUSUM procedure for change detection both experimentally and theoretically.

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

This paper presents the probability distribution function (p.d.f.) and cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of the weighted sum of central independent chi-squared random variables with non-zero weighs based on a method using moment…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-03-24 Ayse Unsal , Raymond Knopp

The main purpose of this paper is to study higher order moments of the generalized quadratic Gauss sums weighted by $L$-functions using estimates for character sums and analytic methods. We find asymptotic formulas for three character sums…

数论 · 数学 2021-04-21 Nilanjan Bag , Rupam Barman

This paper considers the problem of estimating the cumulative distribution function and probability density function of a random variable using data quantized by uniform and non-uniform quantizers. A simple estimator is proposed based on…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-05-03 Paolo Carbone , Johan Schoukens , István Kollár , Antonio Moschitta

We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak

We present a review of some recent results on estimation of location parameter for several models of observations with cusp-type singularity at the change point. We suppose that the cusp-type models fit better to the real phenomena…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-13 S. Dachian , N. Kordzakhia , Yu. A. Kutoyants , A. Novikov

This paper is concerned with testing and dating structural breaks in the dependence structure of multivariate time series. We consider a cumulative sum (CUSUM) type test for constant copula-based dependence measures, such as Spearman's rank…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-12 Florian Stark , Sven Otto

In this paper we consider change-points in multiple sequences with the objective of minimizing the estimation error of a sequence by making use of information from other sequences. This is in contrast to recent interest on change-points in…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-02 Hock Peng Chan

This work develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach to signal separation where the signals may vary according to latent variables. Our key contribution is to augment Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) for the case where each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-20 James Odgers , Ruby Sedgwick , Chrysoula Kappatou , Ruth Misener , Sarah Filippi

In this paper, we not only propose an new optimal sequential test of sum of logarithmic likelihood ratio (SLR) but also present the CUSUM sequential test (control chart, stopping time) with the observation-adjusted control limits…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-03-09 Fuquan Tang , Dong Han

A new class of change point test statistics is proposed that utilizes a weighting and trimming scheme for the cumulative sum (CUSUM) process inspired by R\'enyi (1953). A thorough asymptotic analysis and simulations both demonstrate that…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-05 Lajos Horváth , Curtis Miller , Gregory Rice

Strong mixing property holds for a broad class of linear and nonlinear time series models such as ARMA and GARCH models. In this article we study correlation structure of strong mixing sequences, and some asymptotic properties are…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-02 Fatemeh Azizzadeh , Saeid Rezakhah

In this paper we propose new methodology for the data segmentation, also known as multiple change point problem, in a general framework including classic mean change scenarios, changes in linear regression but also changes in the time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-17 Claudia Kirch , Kerstin Reckruehm

We consider a combination of heavily trimmed sums and sample quantiles which arises when examining properties of clustering criteria and prove limit theorems. The object of interest, which we call the Empirical Cross-over Function, is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-13 Karthik Bharath , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Dipak Dey