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During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy. Motivated by the ongoing response to COVID-19,…

Since early in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there has been interest in using artificial intelligence methods to predict COVID-19 infection status based on vocal audio signals, for example cough recordings. However,…

Anticipating the quantity of new associated or affirmed cases with novel coronavirus ailment 2019 (COVID-19) is critical in the counteraction and control of the COVID-19 flare-up. The new associated cases with COVID-19 information were…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-25 Tushar Sarkar , Umang Patel , Rupali Patil

Pandemic outbreaks such as COVID-19 occur unexpectedly, and need immediate action due to their potential devastating consequences on global health. Point-of-care routine assessments such as electrocardiogram (ECG), can be used to develop…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-12 Weijie Sun , Sunil Vasu Kalmady , Nariman Sepehrvand , Luan Manh Chu , Zihan Wang , Amir Salimi , Abram Hindle , Russell Greiner , Padma Kaul

The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a heavy burden to the healthcare system worldwide and caused huge social disruption and economic loss. Many deep learning models have been proposed to conduct clinical predictive tasks such as mortality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Junyi Gao , Yinghao Zhu , Wenqing Wang , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Ewen M. Harrison , Liantao Ma

Near-real time estimations of the effective reproduction number are among the most important tools to track the progression of a pandemic and to inform policy makers and the general public. However, these estimations rely on reported case…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-07-25 Eszter Bokányi , Zsolt Vizi , Júlia Koltai , Gergely Röst , Márton Karsai

We propose a forecasting method for predicting epidemiological health series on a two-week horizon at the regional and interregional resolution. The approach is based on model order reduction of parametric compartmental models, and is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-11 Athmane Bakhta , Thomas Boiveau , Yvon Maday , Olga Mula

For hospitals, realistic forecasting of bed demand during impending epidemics of infectious diseases is essential to avoid being overwhelmed by a potential sudden increase in the number of admitted patients. Short-term forecasting can aid…

Hospitalisations from COVID-19 with Omicron sub-lineages have put a sustained pressure on the English healthcare system. Understanding the expected healthcare demand enables more effective and timely planning from public health. We collect…

The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow knowing the number of future cases. In…

Purpose: This paper proposes a methodology and a computational tool to study the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the world and to perform a trend analysis to assess its local dynamics. Methods: Mathematical functions are employed to describe…

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has posed unprecedented challenges for the utilities and grid operators around the world. In this work, we focus on the problem of load forecasting. With strict social distancing restrictions, power…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-17 Yize Chen , Weiwei Yang , Baosen Zhang

Using a hybrid of machine learning and epidemiological approaches, we propose a novel data-driven approach in predicting US COVID-19 deaths at a county level. The model gives a more complete description of the daily death distribution,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-09 R. Bathwal , P. Chitta , K. Tirumala , V. Varadarajan

Forecasting the effect of COVID-19 is essential to design policies that may prepare us to handle the pandemic. Many methods have already been proposed, particularly, to forecast reported cases and deaths at country-level and state-level.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-14 Ajitesh Srivastava , Tianjian Xu , Viktor K. Prasanna

Coronavirus outbreak is one of the most challenging pandemics for the entire human population of the planet Earth. Techniques such as the isolation of infected persons and maintaining social distancing are the only preventive measures…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Rahul Mishra , Hari Prabhat Gupta , Tanima Dutta

Compartmental models are widely adopted to describe and predict the spreading of infectious diseases. The unknown parameters of such models need to be estimated from the data. Furthermore, when some of the model variables are not…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-01-18 Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo

In 2020, Brazil was the leading country in COVID-19 cases in Latin America, and capital cities were the most severely affected by the outbreak. Climates vary in Brazil due to the territorial extension of the country, its relief, geography,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Tiago Tiburcio da Silva , Rodrigo Francisquini , Mariá C. V. Nascimento

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

The spread of COVID-19 makes it essential to investigate its prevalence. In such investigation research, as far as we know, the widely-used sampling methods didn't use the information sufficiently about the numbers of the previously…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-01-04 Ze Liu , Siyu Yi , Jianghu , Dong , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou

Short-horizon epidemic forecasts guide near-term staffing, testing, and messaging. Mobility data are now routinely used to improve such forecasts, yet work diverges on whether the volume of mobility or the structure of mobility networks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-10-24 Sepehr Ilami , Qingtao Cao , Babak Heydari