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Let $(X_1,Y_1),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n)$ be an i.i.d. sample from a bivariate distribution function that lies in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. The asymptotic joint distribution of the standardized component-wise…

In this article we study the tail probability of the mass of Gaussian multiplicative chaos. With the novel use of a Tauberian argument and Goldie's implicit renewal theorem, we provide a unified approach to general log-correlated Gaussian…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-01 Mo Dick Wong

By using a probabilistic technique based on the exponential change of measure we find a precise tail asymptotic behavior of some perpetuities with distributions close to the Dickman distribution.

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-17 Alexander Iksanov , Oleh Iksanov

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent normal random variables with $X_i\sim N(\mu_i,\sigma_i^2)$, and set $Z=\prod_{i=1}^n X_i$. We derive asymptotic approximations for the right tail probability $\mathbb{P}(Z>x)$ as $x\to\infty$. When at…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-08 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

The problem is a power-law asymptotics of the probability that a self-similar process does not exceed a fixed level during long time. The exponent in such asymptotics is estimated for some Gaussian processes, including the fractional…

概率论 · 数学 2012-03-13 George Molchan

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the finite-dimensional distributions and asymptotic behavior of extremal Markov processes connected to the Kendall convolution. In particular, based on its stochastic representation, we provide…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Barbara Jasiulis-Gołdyn , Edward Omey

We establish sharp large-deviation asymptotic estimates for the maximum order statistic of i.i.d.\ standard normal random variables on all Borel subsets of the positive real line. This result yields more accurate tail approximations than…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-23 José M. Zapata

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

Gaussian random fields on Euclidean spaces whose variances reach their maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximum of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-12 Sergey G. Kobelkov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

Let F be a distribution function with negative mean and regularly varying right tail. Under a mild smoothness condition we derive higher order asymptotic expansions for the tail distribution of the maxima of the random walk generated by F.…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

We consider a positive stationary generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process \[V_t=\mathrm{e}^{-\xi_t}\biggl(\int_0^t\mathrm{e}^{\xi_{s-}}\ ,\mathrm{d}\eta_s+V_0\biggr)\qquadfor t\geq0,\] and the increments of the integrated generalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-24 Vicky Fasen

We study the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue $\lambda_{\max}$ of $N \times N$ random matrices in the limit of large $N$. The main focus is on Gaussian $\beta$-ensembles, including in particular the Gaussian orthogonal ($\beta=1$),…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-29 Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We investigate the asymptotic properties of the integrated periodogram calculated from a sequence of indicator functions of dependent extremal events. An event in Euclidean space is extreme if it occurs far away from the origin. We use a…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-16 Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

In this paper, we derive some asymptotic theory for the extremogram and cross-extremogram of a bivariate GARCH(1,1) process. We show that the tails of the components of a bivariate GARCH(1,1) process may exhibit power law behavior but,…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-21 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch

This paper addresses the issue of estimating the expectation of a real-valued random variable of the form $X = g(\mathbf{U})$ where $g$ is a deterministic function and $\mathbf{U}$ can be a random finite- or infinite-dimensional vector.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-09-10 Clément Walter

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

概率论 · 数学 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner
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