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Parameter ensembles or sets of random effects constitute one of the cornerstones of modern statistical practice. This is especially the case in Bayesian hierarchical models, where several decision theoretic frameworks can be deployed. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Cedric E. Ginestet

Turning rich neuroimaging data into mechanistic insight remains challenging. Statistical models capture associations but remain largely agnostic to underlying mechanisms. Biophysical models embody candidate mechanisms but remain difficult…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2026-01-15 Dominic Boutet , Sylvain Baillet

Despite the necessity for accurate flood prediction, many regions lack sufficient river discharge observations. Although numerous models for daily river discharge prediction exist, achieving high accuracy, interpretability, and efficiency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Mizuki Funato , Yohei Sawada

Atmospheric aerosols influence the Earth's climate, primarily by affecting cloud formation and scattering visible radiation. However, aerosol-related physical processes in climate simulations are highly uncertain. Constraining these…

Dam breach models are commonly used to predict outflow hydrographs of potentially failing dams and are key ingredients for evaluating flood risk. In this paper a new dam breach modeling framework is introduced that shall improve the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-14 S. J. Peter , A. Siviglia , J. Nagel , S. Marelli , R. M. Boes , D. Vetsch , B. Sudret

In this work the authors study the multiphase flow soft-sensing problem based on a previously established framework. There are three functional modules in this framework, namely, a transient well flow model that describes the response of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Rolf J. Lorentzen , Andreas S. Stordal , Geir Nævdal

Although deep neural networks have been widely employed and proven effective in sentiment analysis tasks, it remains challenging for model developers to assess their models for erroneous predictions that might exist prior to deployment.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-06-03 Zhe Liu , Yufan Guo , Jalal Mahmud

The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

We present an efficient deterministic hypothesis generation algorithm for robust fitting of multiple structures based on the maximum feasible subsystem (MaxFS) framework. Despite its advantage, a global optimization method such as MaxFS has…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-26 Kwang Hee Lee , Sang Wook Lee

The objective of this three-part work is to formulate and rigorously analyse a number of reduced mathematical models that are nevertheless capable of describing the hydrology at the scale of a river basin (i.e. catchment). Coupled surface…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-12-29 Piotr Morawiecki , Philippe H. Trinh

There have been two separate lines of work on estimating Ising models: (1) estimating them from multiple independent samples under minimal assumptions about the model's interaction matrix; and (2) estimating them from one sample in…

Large-scale black-box models have become ubiquitous across numerous applications. Understanding the influence of individual training data sources on predictions made by these models is crucial for improving their trustworthiness. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Myeongseob Ko , Feiyang Kang , Weiyan Shi , Ming Jin , Zhou Yu , Ruoxi Jia

How can we attribute the behaviors of machine learning models to their training data? While the classic influence function sheds light on the impact of individual samples, it often fails to capture the more complex and pronounced collective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 Yuzheng Hu , Pingbang Hu , Han Zhao , Jiaqi W. Ma

Knockoffs are a popular statistical framework that addresses the challenging problem of conditional variable selection in high-dimensional settings with statistical control. Such statistical control is essential for the reliability of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-30 Alexandre Blain , Angel Reyero Lobo , Julia Linhart , Bertrand Thirion , Pierre Neuvial

Recent advances in time series research facilitate the development of foundation models. While many state-of-the-art time series foundation models have been introduced, few studies examine their effectiveness in specific downstream…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Junyang He , Judy Fox , Alireza Jafari , Ying-Jung Chen , Geoffrey Fox

Several methods have been proposed in the literature to improve the quality of AC optimal power flow (AC-OPF) datasets used in machine learning (ML) models. Yet, scalability to large power systems remains unaddressed and comparing…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-27 Matteo Baù , Luca Perbellini , Samuele Grillo

This paper introduces a novel multi-stage decision-making model that integrates hypothesis testing and dynamic programming algorithms to address complex decision-making scenarios.Initially,we develop a sampling inspection scheme that…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-11 Ziyang Liu , Yurui Hu , Yihan Deng

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

A general Bayesian framework for model selection on random network models regarding their features is considered. The goal is to develop a principle Bayesian model selection approach to compare different fittable, not necessarily nested,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-30 Papamichalis Marios

We develop an estimation methodology for a factor model for high-dimensional matrix-valued time series, where common stochastic trends and common stationary factors can be present. We study, in particular, the estimation of (row and column)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-06 Rong Chen , Simone Giannerini , Greta Goracci , Lorenzo Trapani