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The vanilla method in univariate extreme-value theory consists of fitting the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value (GEV) distribution to a sample of block maxima. Despite claims to the contrary, the asymptotic normality of the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-16 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

The maximum likelihood method offers a standard way to estimate the three parameters of a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Combined with the block maxima method, it is often used in practice to assess the extreme value index…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-24 Clément Dombry

Max-stable distributions and processes are important models for extreme events and the assessment of tail risks. The full, multivariate likelihood of a parametric max-stable distribution is complicated and only recent advances enable its…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-08 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

The asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under regularity conditions is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In this paper, we give explicit upper bounds on the distributional distance between the distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-23 Andreas Anastasiou

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

We consider a one dimensional ballistic random walk evolving in an i.i.d. parametric random environment. We provide a maximum likelihood estimation procedure of the environment parameters based on a single observation of the path till the…

Consider a random sample from a bivariate distribution function $F$ in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme-value distribution function $G$. This $G$ is characterized by two extreme-value indices and a spectral measure, the latter…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-01 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

The extreme value index is a fundamental parameter in univariate Extreme Value Theory (EVT). It captures the tail behavior of a distribution and is central in the extrapolation beyond observed data. Among other semi-parametric methods (such…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-02 Clément Dombry , Ana Ferreira

We consider a one-dimensional recurrent random walk in random environment (RWRE) when the environment is i.i.d. with a parametric, finitely supported distribution. Based on a single observation of the path, we provide a maximum likelihood…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-10 Francis Comets , Mikael Falconnet , Oleg Loukianov , Dasha Loukianova

Due to its heavy-tailed and fully parametric form, the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) has been receiving much attention for modeling extreme events in signal and image processing applications. Considering the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-02-27 F. Pascal , L. Bombrun , J. Y. Tourneret , Y. Berthoumieu

The univariate generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is the most commonly used tool for analyzing the properties of rare events. The ever greater utilization of Bayesian methods for extreme value analysis warrants detailed…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby

We prove asymptotic normality of the so-called maximum likelihood estimator of the extreme value index.

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Holger Drees , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

Maximum likelihood estimations for the parameters of extreme value distributions are discussed in this paper using fixed point iteration. The commonly used numerical approach for addressing this problem is the Newton-Raphson approach which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-02-03 Tewfik Kernane , Zohrh A. Raizah

We extend a recently established asymptotic normality theorem for generalized linear mixed models to include the dispersion parameter. The new results show that the maximum likelihood estimators of all model parameters have asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-11 Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

A common approach for modeling extremes, such as peak flow or high temperatures, is the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value distribution. This is typically fit to extreme observations, here defined as maxima over disjoint blocks. This…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Nathan Huet , Ilaria Prosdocimi

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli
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