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The problem of prediction of a given time series is examined on the basis of recent nonlinear dynamics theories. Particular attention is devoted to forecast the amplitude and phase of one of the most common solar indicator activity, the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Stefano Sello

Solar panels are installed by a large and growing number of households due to the convenience of having cheap and renewable energy to power house appliances. In contrast to other energy sources solar installations are distributed very…

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

One of the most commonly performed manipulation in a human's daily life is pouring. Many factors have an effect on target accuracy, including pouring velocity, rotation angle, geometric of the source, and the receiving containers. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-28 Qi Zheng

Prospective power supply systems based on Renewable Energy Sources require measures to balance power generation and load at all times. The utilisation of storage devices and backup power plants is widely suggested for this purpose, whereas…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-22 Stefan Weitemeyer , David Kleinhans , Lars Siemer , Carsten Agert

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

Great Britain aims to meet growing electricity demand and achieve a fully decarbonised grid by 2035, targeting 70 GW of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity. However, grid constraints and connection delays hinder solar integration. To address…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-27 Hussah Alghanem , Alastair Buckley

Selecting the right deep learning model for power grid forecasting is challenging, as performance heavily depends on the data available to the operator. This paper presents a comprehensive benchmark of five modern neural architectures: two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Sunki Hong , Jisoo Lee

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Hanyu Zhang , Reza Zandehshahvar , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Traffic flow prediction is an essential task in constructing smart cities and is a typical Multivariate Time Series (MTS) Problem. Recent research has abandoned Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) and utilized dilated convolutions or temporal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Wenfeng Zhang , Xin Li , Anqi Li , Xiaoting Huang , Ti Wang , Honglei Gao

Accurately predicting the wind power output of a wind farm across various time scales utilizing Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) is a critical issue in wind power trading and utilization. The WPF problem remains unresolved due to numerous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Hongjin Song , Qianrun Chen , Tianqi Jiang , Yongfeng Li , Xusheng Li , Wenjun Xi , Songtao Huang

Accurate day-ahead solar irradiance forecasting is essential for integrating solar energy into the power grid. However, it remains challenging due to the pronounced diurnal cycle and inherently complex cloud dynamics. Current methods either…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Ziqing Ma , Kai Ying , Xinyue Gu , Tian Zhou , Tianyu Zhu , Haifan Zhang , Peisong Niu , Zheng Wang , Cong Bai , Liang Sun

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The occurrence of large-scale power outages induced by natural disasters has been on the rise in a changing climate. Such power outages often last extended durations, causing substantial financial losses and socioeconomic impacts to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji , Anwar Walid , Scott Ganz

The rapid expansion of renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, has made reliable forecasting critical for power system operations. While recent deep learning models have achieved strong average accuracy, the increasing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Zhi Sheng , Yuan Yuan , Guozhen Zhang , Yong Li

Smooth power generation from solar stations demand accurate, reliable and efficient forecast of solar energy for optimal integration to cater market demand; however, the implicit instability of solar energy production may cause serious…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Farah Shahid , Aneela Zameer , Mudasser Afzal , Muhammad Hassan