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Future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems will be dominated by renewable energy technologies providing variable supply subject to uncertain weather conditions. For this setting, we propose an algorithm for capacity expansion planning: We…

This study predicts hourly solar irradiance components, Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI), and Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (DHI) using meteorological data to forecast solar energy output in Ibadan,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Obarotu Peter Urhuerhi , Christopher Udomboso , Caston Sigauke

Agrivoltaic systems are becoming more popular as a critical technology for attaining several sustainable development goals such as affordable and clean energy, zero hunger, clean water and sanitation, and climate action. However,…

Despite the increasing importance of forecasts of renewable energy, current planning studies only address a general estimate of the forecast quality to be expected and selected forecast horizons. However, these estimates allow only a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-03 Jens Schreiber , Artjom Buschin , Bernhard Sick

Solar energy is one of the most economical and clean sustainable energy sources on the planet. However, the solar energy throughput is highly unpredictable due to its dependency on a plethora of conditions including weather, seasons, and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Nirupam Bidikar , Kotoju Rajitha , P. Usha Supriya

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

The use of wind and solar generation is fundamental to the decarbonisation of the United Kingdom electricity system. However, the optimal level of renewable energy as a proportion of total demand is still being debated. In this paper,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-07-25 Anthony D Stephens , David R Walwyn

In this research, renewable energy expansion in South America up to 2050 is predicted based on machine learning models that are trained on past energy data. The research employs gradient boosting regression and Prophet time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Triveni Magadum , Sanjana Murgod , Kartik Garg , Vivek Yadav , Harshit Mittal , Omkar Kushwaha

With the development of modern information technology (IT), a smart grid has become one of the major components of smart cities. To take full advantage of the smart grid, the capability of intelligent scheduling and planning of electricity…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-03-01 Hao Song , Yu Chen , Ning Zhou , Genshe Chen

Averting the impending harms of climate change requires to replace fossil fuels with renewables as a primary source of energy. Non-electric renewable potential being limited, this implies extending the use of electricity generated from wind…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke

Due to the rise in the use of renewable energies as an alternative to traditional ones, and especially solar energy, there is increasing interest in studying how to address photovoltaic forecasting in the face of the challenge of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Ines Montoya-Espinagosa , Antonio Agudo

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

Inversion-based feedforward control relies on an accurate model that describes the inverse system dynamics. The gated recurrent unit (GRU), which is a recent architecture in recurrent neural networks, is a strong candidate for obtaining…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-21 Mingdao Lin , Max Bolderman , Mircea Lazar

Accurate solar forecasting underpins effective renewable energy management. We present SolarCAST, a causally informed model predicting future global horizontal irradiance (GHI) at a target site using only historical GHI from site X and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Yanan Niu , Demetri Psaltis , Christophe Moser , Luisa Lambertini

Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Recent advances in power system State Estimation (SE) have included equivalent circuit models for representing measurement data that allows incorporation of both PMU and RTU measurements within the state estimator. In this paper, we…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-12-13 Martin R. Wagner , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

Conventional state estimation routines of electrical grids are mainly reliant on dynamic models of fossil fuel-based resources. These models commonly contain differential equations describing synchronous generator models and algebraic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-22 Muhammad Nadeem , Ahmad F. Taha

Modeling irregularly sampled multivariate time series is a persistent challenge in domains like healthcare and sensor networks. While recent works have explored a variety of complex learning architectures to solve the prediction problems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Ankitkumar Joshi , Milos Hauskrecht

As global energy systems transit to clean energy, accurate renewable generation and renewable demand forecasting is imperative for effective grid management. Foundation Models (FMs) can help improve forecasting of renewable generation and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-01 Md Meftahul Ferdaus , Tanmoy Dam , Md Rasel Sarkar , Moslem Uddin , Sreenatha G. Anavatti