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The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

Model selection is an important activity in modern data analysis and the conventional Bayesian approach to this problem involves calculation of marginal likelihoods for different models, together with diagnostics which examine specific…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-10-31 David J. Nott , Robert J. Kohn , Mark Fielding

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

We study the behavior of bivariate empirical copula process $\mathbb{G}_n(\cdot,\cdot)$ on pavements $[0,k_n/n]^2$ of $[0,1]^2,$ where $k_n$ is a sequence of positive constants fulfilling some conditions. We provide a upper bound for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Tarek Zari

When modeling the distribution of a multivariate continuous random vector using the so-called \emph{copula approach}, it is not uncommon to have ties in the coordinate samples of the available data because of rounding or lack of measurement…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Ivan Kojadinovic

We study in details the isoperimetric profile of product probability measures with tails between the exponential and the Gaussian regime. In particular we exhibit many examples where coordinate half-spaces are approximate solutions of the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Franck Barthe , Patrick Cattiaux , Cyril Roberto

As the meta-analysis of more than one diagnostic tests can impact clinical decision making and patient health, there is an increasing body of research in models and methods for meta-analysis of studies comparing multiple diagnostic tests.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

A semiparametric copula-based two-part quantile regression framework is developed for the analysis of semicontinuous outcomes characterized by a point mass at zero and a continuous positive component. The proposed approach models the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Guanjie Lyu , Mohamed Belalia , Abdulkadir Hussein

We present a method for drawing isolines indicating regions of equal joint exceedance probability for bivariate data. The method relies on bivariate regular variation, a dependence framework widely used for extremes. This framework enables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-17 Daniel Cooley , Emeric Thibaud , Federico Castillo , Michael F. Wehner

We propose a new goodness-of-fit test for copulas, based on empirical copula processes and their nonparametric bootstrap counterparts. The standard Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test for copulas that takes the supremum of the empirical copula…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-03 Jean-David Fermanian , Dragan Radulovic , Marten Wegkamp

The concept of intermediate tail dependence is useful if one wants to quantify the degree of positive dependence in the tails when there is no strong evidence of presence of the usual tail dependence. We first review existing studies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-05 Lei Hua , Harry Joe

Tail dependence plays an essential role in the characterization of joint extreme events in multivariate data. However, most standard tail dependence parameters assume continuous margins. This note presents a form of tail dependence suitable…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Victory Idowu

Copulas are now frequently used to construct or estimate multivariate distributions because of their ability to take into account the multivariate dependence of the different variables while separately specifying marginal distributions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

The classical tail dependence coefficient (TDC) may fail to capture non-exchangeable features of bivariate tail dependence since it evaluates the underlying copula only along the diagonal. To address this limitation, several measures of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Takaaki Koike , Marius Hofert , Haruki Tsunekawa

Missing values with mixed data types is a common problem in a large number of machine learning applications such as processing of surveys and in different medical applications. Recently, Gaussian copula models have been suggested as a means…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Benjamin Christoffersen , Mark Clements , Keith Humphreys , Hedvig Kjellström

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Copula modeling consists in finding a probabilistic distribution, called copula, whereby its coupling with the marginal distributions of a set of random variables produces their joint distribution. The present work aims to use this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-04-24 Pierre Nazé

We use the copula approach to study the structure of dependence between sell-side analysts' consensus recommendations and subsequent security returns, with a focus on asymmetric tail dependence. We match monthly vintages of I/B/E/S…

经济学 · 定量金融 2014-05-14 Ivan Medovikov

Bi-factor and second-order models based on copulas are proposed for item response data, where the items can be split into non-overlapping groups such that there is a homogeneous dependence within each group. Our general models include the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Frequency domain methods form a ubiquitous part of the statistical toolbox for time series analysis. In recent years, considerable interest has been given to the development of new spectral methodology and tools capturing dynamics in the…