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Counterfactual causal inference faces significant challenges when extended to multi-category, multi-valued treatments, where complex cross-effects between heterogeneous interventions are difficult to model. Existing methodologies remain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Xiaopeng Ke , Yihan Yu , Ruyue Zhang , Zhishuo Zhou , Fangzhou Shi , Chang Men , Zhengdan Zhu

Convolutional neural networks (CNN) have been successful in machine learning applications. Their success relies on their ability to consider space invariant local features. We consider the use of CNN to fit nuisance models in semiparametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-08 Mohammad Ghasempour , Niloofar Moosavi , Xavier de Luna

Observational studies are regarded as economic alternatives to randomized trials, often used in their stead to investigate and determine treatment efficacy. Due to lack of sample size, observational studies commonly combine data from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-16 Tianhui Zhou , William E. Carson , Michael Hunter Klein , David Carlson

Due to the challenge posed by multi-source and heterogeneous data collected from diverse environments, causal relationships among features can exhibit variations influenced by different time spans, regions, or strategies. This diversity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Lu Liu , Yang Tang , Kexuan Zhang , Qiyu Sun

The micro-randomized trial (MRT) is an experimental design that can be used to develop optimal mobile health interventions. In MRTs, interventions in the form of notifications or messages are sent through smart phones to individuals,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-14 Shuangning Li , Stefan Wager

To effectively optimize and personalize treatments, it is necessary to investigate the heterogeneity of treatment effects. With the wide range of users being treated over many online controlled experiments, the typical approach of manually…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-07 John Cai , Weinan Wang

This paper explores the estimation of a panel data model with cross-sectional interaction that is flexible both in its approach to specifying the network of connections between cross-sectional units, and in controlling for unobserved…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-23 Ayden Higgins , Federico Martellosio

Variance reduction for causal inference in the presence of network interference is often achieved through either outcome modeling, typically analyzed under unit-randomized Bernoulli designs, or clustered experimental designs, typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Matthew Eichhorn , Samir Khan , Johan Ugander , Christina Lee Yu

This paper studies experimental designs for estimation and inference on policies with spillover effects. Units are organized into a finite number of large clusters and interact in unknown ways within each cluster. First, we introduce a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-06 Davide Viviano , Jess Rudder

There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

We consider the problem of extrapolating treatment effects across heterogeneous populations (``sites"/``contexts"). We consider an idealized scenario in which the researcher observes cross-sectional data for a large number of units across…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-03 Konrad Menzel

This paper studies causal inference with observational data from a single large network. We consider a nonparametric model with interference in both potential outcomes and selection into treatment. Specifically, both stages may be the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Michael P. Leung , Pantelis Loupos

Causal effect estimation under networked interference is an important but challenging problem. Available parametric methods are limited in their model space, while previous semiparametric methods, e.g., leveraging neural networks to fit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Zeqin Yang , Jie Qiao , Yuguang Yan , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

Estimating the joint effect of a multivariate, continuous exposure is crucial, particularly in environmental health where interest lies in simultaneously evaluating the impact of multiple environmental pollutants on health. We develop novel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-06 Heejun Shin , Antonio Linero , Michelle Audirac , Kezia Irene , Danielle Braun , Joseph Antonelli

To further develop the statistical inference problem for heterogeneous treatment effects, this paper builds on Breiman's (2001) random forest tree (RFT)and Wager et al.'s (2018) causal tree to parameterize the nonparametric problem using…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-15 Lai Xinglin

Estimating total treatment effects in the presence of network interference typically requires knowledge of the underlying interaction structure. However, in many practical settings, network data is either unavailable, incomplete, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Albert Tan , Sadegh Shirani , James Nordlund , Mohsen Bayati

We often seek to estimate the impact of an exposure naturally occurring or randomly assigned at the cluster-level. For example, the literature on neighborhood determinants of health continues to grow. Likewise, community randomized trials…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-08 Laura B. Balzer , Wenjing Zheng , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

Spatial interference (SI) occurs when the treatment at one location affects the outcomes at other locations. Accounting for spatial interference in spatiotemporal settings poses further challenges as interference violates the stable unit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-02 Sahara Ali , Omar Faruque , Jianwu Wang

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is frequently estimated to refute the homogeneous treatment effect assumption. Under this assumption, all units making up the population under study experience identical benefit from a given…

There is a dearth of robust methods to estimate the causal effects of multiple treatments when the outcome is binary. This paper uses two unique sets of simulations to propose and evaluate the use of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Liangyuan Hu , Chenyang Gu , Michael Lopez , Jiayi Ji , Juan Wisnivesky
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