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Smart meter data analysis can provide insights into residential electricity consumption behaviors. Seasonal variation in consumption is not well understood but yet important to utilities for energy pricing and services. This paper aims to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Zhenyu Wang , Hao Wang

Detailed knowledge of individual income dynamics is crucial for investigating the existence of the American dream: Are we able to improve our income status during our working life? This key question simply boils down to observing individual…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-27 Petar Jolakoski , Arnab Pal , Trifce Sandev , Ljupco Kocarev , Ralf Metzler , Viktor Stojkoski

This paper empirically assesses predictions of Goodwin's model of cyclical growth regarding demand and distributive regimes when integrating the real and financial sectors. In addition, it evaluates how financial and employment shocks…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-15 Marcio Santetti

The productive career of a professional athlete is limited compared to the normal human lifespan. Most professional athletes have retired by age 40. The early retirement age is due to a combination of age-related performance and life…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-17 Monnie McGee , Jacob Turner , Bianca Luedeker

China has been developing very fast since the beginning of the 21st century. The net income of households has been increased a lot as well. Nonetheless, migration from rural areas to urban sectors tends to keep a high saving rate instead of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-19 Fuhao Lou

This paper resolves the empirical puzzle in the public-private wage literature: why studies using similar data reach contradictory conclusions about wage premiums and penalties. Utilizing rich French administrative panel data (2012-2019),…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-21 Riddhi Kalsi

Evidence on the effectiveness of retraining U.S. unemployed workers primarily comes from evaluations of training programs, which represent one narrow avenue for skill acquisition. We use high-quality records from Ohio and a matching method…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Pauline Leung , Zhuan Pei

Complex systems are usually non-stationary and their dynamics is often dominated by collective effects. Collectivity, defined as coherent motion of the whole system or of some of its parts, manifests itself in the time-dependent structures…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-11 Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

In the last decade, the study of labour dynamics has led to the introduction of labour flow networks (LFNs) as a way to conceptualise job-to-job transitions, and to the development of mathematical models to explore the dynamics of these…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-29 Kathyrn R. Fair , Omar A. Guerrero

Understanding consumption dynamics and its impact on the whole economy and welfare within the present economic crisis is not an easy task. Indeed the level of consumer demand for different goods varies with the prices, consumer incomes and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-11 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

We extend the exploration regarding dynamical approach of macroeconomic variables by tackling systematically expenditure using Statistical Physics models (for the first time to the best of our knowledge). Also, using polynomial distribution…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-29 Elvis Oltean , Fedor Kusmartsev

Commodity futures constitute an attractive asset class for portfolio managers. Propelled by their low correlation with other assets, commodities begin gaining popularity among investors, as they allow to capture diversification benefits.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-04-13 M. Belén Arouxet , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Verónica Pastor , Victoria Vampa

We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

We use supervised learning to identify factors that predict the cross-section of returns and maximum drawdown for stocks in the US equity market. Our data run from January 1970 to December 2019 and our analysis includes ordinary least…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-12-05 Lisa R. Goldberg , Saad Mouti

In the last decade, a large body of literature has been developed to explain the universal features of inequality in terms of income and wealth. By now, it is established that the distributions of income and wealth in various economies show…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-11-25 Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

The Health and Retirement Study is a longitudinal study of US adults enrolled at age 50 and older. We were interested in investigating the effect of a sudden large decline in wealth on the cognitive score of subjects. Our analysis was…

A continuous variable changing between 0 and 1 is introduced to characterise contentment, or satisfaction with life, of an individual and an equation governing its evolution is postulated from analysis of several factors likely to affect…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-01 Alexey A. Burluka

In this paper we explore the dynamic relationship between income inequality and economic mobility through a pairing of a population-scale partial differential equation (PDE) model and an associated individual-based stochastic differential…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-03-25 Scott A. McKinley , Gary A. Hoover

With the increasing volume of high-frequency data in the information age, both challenges and opportunities arise in the prediction of stock volatility. On one hand, the outcome of prediction using tradition method combining stock technical…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-29 Wenting Liu , Zhaozhong Gui , Guilin Jiang , Lihua Tang , Lichun Zhou , Wan Leng , Xulong Zhang , Yujiang Liu

This paper captures irregularities in financial time series data, particularly stock prices, in the presence of COVID-19 shock. We conjectured that jumps and irregularities are embedded in stock data due to the pandemic shock, which brings…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Leonard Mushunje , David Allen , Shelton Peiris