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Unobserved confounders are a long-standing issue in causal inference using propensity score methods. This study proposed nonparametric indices to quantify the impact of unobserved confounders through pseudo-experiments with an application…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-27 Beilin Jia , Donglin Zeng , Qing Yang , Wei Pan

Comparing composite models for multi-component observational data is a prevalent scientific challenge. When fitting composite models, there exists the potential for systematics from a poor fit of one model component to be absorbed by…

Integrating heterogeneous datasets across different measurement platforms is a fundamental challenge in many scientific applications. A common example arises in deconvolution problems, such as cell type deconvolution, where one aims to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Dongyue Xie , Lin Gui , Jingshu Wang

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Causal approaches to fairness have seen substantial recent interest, both from the machine learning community and from wider parties interested in ethical prediction algorithms. In no small part, this has been due to the fact that causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-17 Niki Kilbertus , Philip J. Ball , Matt J. Kusner , Adrian Weller , Ricardo Silva

Unobserved confounding presents a major threat to causal inference from observational studies. Recently, several authors suggest that this problem may be overcome in a shared confounding setting where multiple treatments are independent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-25 Dehan Kong , Shu Yang , Linbo Wang

Recent work has focused on the very common practice of prediction-based inference: that is, (i) using a pre-trained machine learning model to predict an unobserved response variable, and then (ii) conducting inference on the association…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Keshav Motwani , Daniela Witten

Estimating direct and indirect causal effects from observational data is crucial to understanding the causal mechanisms and predicting the behaviour under different interventions. Causal mediation analysis is a method that is often used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Ziqi Xu , Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Jixue Liu , Lin Liu , Ke Wang

This paper studies the cumulative causal effects of sequential treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders. It is a critical issue in sequential decision-making scenarios where treatment decisions and outcomes dynamically evolve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-15 Yingrong Wang , Anpeng Wu , Baohong Li , Ziyang Xiao , Ruoxuan Xiong , Qing Han , Kun Kuang

Completely randomized experiment is the gold standard for causal inference. When the covariate information for each experimental candidate is available, one typical way is to include them in covariate adjustments for more accurate treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Xin Lu , Fan Yang , Yuhao Wang

Estimating counterfactual distributions under interventions is central to treatment risk assessment and counterfactual generation tasks. Existing approaches model the counterfactual distribution as a standalone generative target, without…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Hugh Dance , Johnny Xi , Peter Orbanz , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

This paper introduces tools for assessing the sensitivity, to unobserved confounding, of a common estimator of the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome that employs weights: the weighted linear regression of the outcome on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Leonard Wainstein , Chad Hazlett

It is common practice in using regression type models for inferring causal effects, that inferring the correct causal relationship requires extra covariates are included or ``adjusted for''. Without performing this adjustment erroneous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-18 David Rohde

Estimating individual-level treatment effect from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference and has attracted increasing attention in the fields of education, healthcare, and public policy.In this work, we concentrate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Hui Meng , Keping Yang , Xuyu Peng , Bo Zheng

One of the fundamental challenges found throughout the data sciences is to explain why things happen in specific ways, or through which mechanisms a certain variable $X$ exerts influences over another variable $Y$. In statistics and machine…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-09 Drago Plecko , Elias Bareinboim

Standard regression adjustment gives inconsistent estimates of causal effects when there are time-varying treatment effects and time-varying covariates. Loosely speaking, the issue is that some covariates are post-treatment variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Edward Kennedy , Robert Tibshirani , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Regression adjustment is broadly applied in randomized trials under the premise that it usually improves the precision of a treatment effect estimator. However, previous work has shown that this is not always true. To further understand…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-11 Katarzyna Reluga , Ting Ye , Qingyuan Zhao

Identifying effects of actions (treatments) on outcome variables from observational data and causal assumptions is a fundamental problem in causal inference. This identification is made difficult by the presence of confounders which can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Ilya Shpitser , Tyler VanderWeele , James M. Robins

We consider nonparametric measurement error density deconvolution subject to heteroscedastic measurement errors as well as symmetry about zero and shape constraints, in particular unimodality. The problem is motivated by applications where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Ya Su , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yan Zhang , Nilanjan Chatterjee , Raymond J. Carroll

Estimating individualized treatment effects (ITEs) from observational data is crucial for decision-making. In order to obtain unbiased ITE estimates, a common assumption is that all confounders are observed. However, in practice, it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Milan Kuzmanovic , Tobias Hatt , Stefan Feuerriegel
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