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Accurate prediction of outcomes is crucial for clinical decision-making and personalized patient care. Supervised machine learning algorithms, which are commonly used for outcome prediction in the medical domain, optimize for predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Nithya Bhasker , Fiona R. Kolbinger , Susu Hu , Gitta Kutyniok , Stefanie Speidel

Valid estimation of treatment effects from observational data requires proper control of confounding. If the number of covariates is large relative to the number of observations, then controlling for all available covariates is infeasible.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-11 Joseph Antonelli , Matthew Cefalu , Nathan Palmer , Denis Agniel

In observational causal inference, domain knowledge often leaves multiple covariate adjustments plausible, yet which sets satisfy ignorability is untestable. Different adjustment sets can yield conflicting estimates of the average treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-23 Aditya Ghosh , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Many biological high-throughput data sets, such as targeted amplicon-based and metagenomic sequencing data, are compositional in nature. A common exploratory data analysis task is to infer statistical associations between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-28 Aditya Mishra , Christian L. Muller

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

The sample covariance matrix is a cornerstone of multivariate statistics, but it is highly sensitive to outliers. These can be casewise outliers, such as cases belonging to a different population, or cellwise outliers, which are deviating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Peter J. Rousseeuw

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

Covariate-specific treatment effects (CSTEs) represent heterogeneous treatment effects across subpopulations defined by certain selected covariates. In this article, we consider marginal structural models where CSTEs are linearly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Peng Wu , Zhiqiang Tan , Wenjie Hu , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Existing sequential generalized estimating equation methodology for longitudinal and group-correlated data focuses on narrow hypotheses concerning treatment efficacy and often makes modeling assumptions that impede the desirable robustness…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Nathan T. Provost , Abdus S. Wahed

We study nonparametric inference for the causal dose-response (or treatment effect) curve when the treatment variable is continuous rather than binary or discrete. We do this by developing doubly robust confidence intervals for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-13 Charles R. Doss

This paper focuses on the problem of testing the null hypothesis that the regression functions of several populations are equal under a general nonparametric homoscedastic regression model. It is well known that linear kernel regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-01 Graciela Boente , Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernández

Risk stratification is most directly and informatively summarized as a risk distribution curve. From this curve the ROC curve, predictiveness curve, and other curves depicting risk stratification can be derived, demonstrating that they…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2009-12-17 Ralph Stern

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has become a powerful framework for estimation under uncertainty, offering strong out-of-sample performance and principled regularization. In this paper, we propose a DRO-based method for linear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Liviu Aolaritei , Soroosh Shafiee , Florian Dörfler

Balancing influential covariates is crucial for valid treatment comparisons in clinical studies. While covariate-adaptive randomization is commonly used to achieve balance, its performance can be inadequate when the number of baseline…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Ziqing Guo , Yang Liu , Lucy Xia

This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. In the selection on observables framework, we show how to construct confidence intervals based on a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-13 Max H. Farrell

Background: Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used to evaluate the performance of Software Defect Prediction (SDP) models that estimate module fault-proneness, i.e., the probability that a module is faulty. A ROC…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Luigi Lavazza , Gabriele Rotoloni , Sandro Morasca

A new semiparametric model of the ROC curve based on the resilience family or proportional reversed hazard family is proposed which is an alternative to the existing models. The resulting ROC curve and its summary indices (such as area…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-28 Ruhul Ali Khan

In analysis of binary outcomes, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve is heavily used to show the performance of a model or algorithm. The ROC curve is informative about the performance over a series of thresholds and can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-10 John Muschelli

Medical studies that depend on electronic health records (EHR) data are often subject to measurement error, as the data are not collected to support research questions under study. These data errors, if not accounted for in study analyses,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Eric J. Oh , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley , Pamela A. Shaw

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai